Getafe vs Celta Vigo 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.42 — +12.8% better than the market.

Getafe shows clear home momentum with recent wins contrasting Celta Vigo's struggles on the road. The hosts' stronger form and higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge and better attacking rhythm. Celta's defense may face challenges breaking down Getafe's compact block, while the match pace suggests a cautious start with limited goal flow.

Getafe's home confidence and recent wins
Celta's defensive vulnerabilities away
Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.42 ✗ Lost

AI 47% Implied 41% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 5-3-2 · CEL 3-4-3

GET · 5-3-2 3-4-3 · CEL

10 Satriano ⚽

Subs used · GET

García ↑ ·

Femenia ↓

73'

Azón ↑ ·

Satriano ↓

90+4'

lopez ↑ ·

Terrats ↓

90+4'

Graf ↑ ·

Mangala ↓

Subs used · CEL

64'

García ↑ ·

Galán ↓

64'

Vilarino ↑ ·

Aspas ↓

64'

Driouech ↑ ·

El-Abdellaoui ↓

69'

Iglesias ↑ ·

Fernández ↓

83'

Jutglà ↑ ·

González ↓

Statistics

GET 1 – 1 CEL

30%

Possession (%)

70%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 1 – 1

Andrés García ↓ · Kiko Femenia ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

Martin Satriano

1–0

⚽

21'

Johan Mojica

Yellow Card

▮

45+6'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Zaid Romero

Yellow Card

▮

55'

57'

⚽

Carl Starfelt

Assist · Hugo González · 1–1

64'

⇄

Javier Rueda García ↓ · Javi Galán ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

Sergio Carreira Vilarino ↓ · Iago Aspas ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

Couhaib Driouech ↓ · Jones El-Abdellaoui ↑

Substitution 3

Zaid Romero

Red Card

▮

67'

69'

⇄

Borja Iglesias ↓ · Pablo Durán Fernández ↑

Substitution 4

Iván Azón ↓ · Martin Satriano ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

77'

▮

Carl Starfelt

Yellow Card

83'

⇄

Ferran Jutglà ↓ · Hugo González ↑

Substitution 5

Ramón Terrats

Yellow Card

▮

85'

▮

Marcos Alonso

Yellow Card

oscar lopez ↓ · Ramón Terrats ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+4'

Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf ↓ · Orel Mangala ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Getafe and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Martin Satriano (21'), Carl Starfelt (57'). Zaid Romero was sent off in the 67' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.87 units (Brier 0.163).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.42	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.65	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.63	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.61	—	53%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.16	—	35%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.75	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.64	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.36	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	60%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	6.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.40	—	73%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	70%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	2.94	—	30%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.12	—	88%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	82%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.30	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.87u	−23% ROI