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Home Spain La Liga Racing Santander — Elche

Preview Racing Santander vs Elche August 28, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
Home · last 5 D L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 17:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Elche
Elche
D L Away · last 5
Home Win · SAN
43%
Best 2.25
Draw
27%
Best 3.56
Away Win · ELC
30%
Best 3.46

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 57% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

This La Liga clash features two sides with identical recent form, both showing signs of defensive solidity but limited attacking firepower. Racing Santander may hold a slight home momentum edge, while Elche’s compact block could stifle chances. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a leaning towards over 2.5 goals, hinting at some attacking intent despite cautious recent results.

  • Home side’s slight tempo advantage
  • Both teams’ recent draws indicate tight contests
  • Potential for set-piece moments to decide

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 43% Racing Santander win
Over/Under 2.5 56% Over 2.5
BTTS 57% Yes
Double Chance 70% 1X
  • 1X2 Racing Santander win 43%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56%
  • BTTS Yes 57%
  • Double Chance 1X 70%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 2.97 ↑ 3.35 (+13%)
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Racing Santander
W/D/L 0-1-1
Goals (for / against) 2 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.5
Scored in 1/2
Clean sheets 0/2
Both teams scored 1/2
Over 2.5 1/2
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.51 / 1.05
Elche
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 4 / 9
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 0.65 / 1.32

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
0.50
1.50
Goals Conceded
3
1.51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4.50
49
Possession (%)
53.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
86
OFF · home
21
71
DEF · home
7
47
OFF · away
67
40
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Racing Santander wins when scoring first
0%
Elche wins when scoring first
75%
Racing Santander BTTS rate · last 2
50%
Elche BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Racing Santander Over 2.5 · last 2
50%
Elche Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Racing Santander comeback rate · last 2
Elche comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Racing Santander · last 1 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 50%
31–45 50%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Elche · last 10 away

0–15 11%
16–30 11%
31–45 33%
46–60 0%
61–75 11%
76–90 33%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

Sergio Martínez
SAN · Midfielder
1 G
Andrés Martín
SAN · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90
Marc Aguado
ELC · Midfielder
1 G · 0.58 g/90
Gonzalo Villar
ELC · Midfielder
0 G · 0.00 g/90