Racing Santander vs Elche 3:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.40 — +0.9% better than the market.

This La Liga clash features two sides with identical recent form, both showing signs of defensive solidity but limited attacking firepower. Racing Santander may hold a slight home momentum edge, while Elche’s compact block could stifle chances. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a leaning towards over 2.5 goals, hinting at some attacking intent despite cautious recent results.

Home side’s slight tempo advantage
Both teams’ recent draws indicate tight contests
Potential for set-piece moments to decide

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.40 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 29% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SAN 4-2-3-1 · ELC 5-4-1

SAN · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · ELC

21 Zabiri ⚽

Subs used · SAN

59'

Prati ↑ ·

Martin ↓

69'

Guliashvili ↑ ·

Vicente ↓

69'

Villalibre ↑ ·

Zabiri ↓

85'

Gueye ↑ ·

Canales ↓

Subs used · ELC

46'

Ponce ↑ ·

Houary ↓

46'

Morente ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

62'

Morcillo ↑ ·

Bigas ↓

69'

Cepeda ↑ ·

Buonanotte ↓

84'

Josan ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

Statistics

SAN 3 – 2 ELC

40%

Possession (%)

60%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 3 – 2

Y. Zabiri

1–0

⚽

15'

Y. Zabiri

2–0

⚽

21'

Y. Zabiri

Assist · I. Vicente · 3–0

⚽

36'

F. Gonzalez

Yellow Card

▮

43'

A. Mantilla

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 3 – 0

46'

⇄

E. Ponce ↓ · A. Houary ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

Tete Morente ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 2

M. Prati ↓ · A. Martin ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

62'

⇄

J. Morcillo ↓ · P. Bigas ↑

Substitution 3

63'

▮

F. Buonanotte

Yellow Card

G. Guliashvili ↓ · I. Vicente ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

A. Villalibre ↓ · Y. Zabiri ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

⇄

L. Cepeda ↓ · F. Buonanotte ↑

Substitution 4

78'

⚽

Buba Sangare

Assist · L. Cepeda · 3–1

79'

⚽

F. Nino

Assist · Tete Morente · 3–2

84'

⇄

Josan ↓ · Buba Sangare ↑

Substitution 5

M. Gueye ↓ · S. Canales ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Racing Santander beat Elche 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.50 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Y. Zabiri (15'), Y. Zabiri (21'), Y. Zabiri (36'), Buba Sangare (78'), F. Nino (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.38 units (Brier 0.177).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.80	1.67	56%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.67	1.76	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.65	1.56	57%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Home Win	2.18	2.05	43%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
BTTS No	2.14	2.30	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.05	2.20	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.45	2.65	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.84	2.62	34%	Cashed	+1.84	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	1.29	70%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	1.44	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.58	1.52	43%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Away Win	3.40	3.60	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	1.20	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.35	3.55	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.20	4.33	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.40	12.99	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.38u	−20% ROI

Racing Santander vs Elche 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled