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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Sociedad — Espanyol

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
D W L L D Away · last 5
Referee M. Orellana
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.70 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.66 – 0.76
Δ +0.90
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.00 — +12.6% better than the market.

Real Sociedad hosts Espanyol in a La Liga clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown signs of momentum with a win and a draw in their last two. Sociedad’s home edge is modest but could be offset by Espanyol’s pressing and ability to capitalize on set-pieces. The match hints at a balanced pace with a moderate goal environment, suggesting a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest.

  • Espanyol’s recent form shows early signs of resilience.
  • Real Sociedad’s home advantage is present but limited.
  • Moderate tempo likely with tactical discipline on both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.00 ✗ Lost
AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

RSO 4-4-2 · ESP 4-4-2
RSO · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · ESP 1 Remiro 2 Aramburu 31 Martín 5 Zubeldia 17 Gómez 7 Barrenetxea ⚽ 8 Turrientes 18 Soler 24 Sučić 9 Óskarsson ⚽ 10 Oyarzabal 13 Dmitrović 23 El Hilali 16 Drkušić 14 Núñez 21 Hinojo 22 Calatrava 4 González 8 Expósito 24 Dolan 28 Hernandez 9 Fernández ⚽
Subs used · RSO
62' Herrera ↑ · Turrientes ↓
63' García ↑ · Barrenetxea ↓
78' Guedes ↑ · Óskarsson ↓
78' Kubo ↑ · Sučić ↓
90' Gorrotxategi ↑ · Oyarzabal ↓
Subs used · ESP
45' Moscardo ↑ · Gonzalez ↓
70' Fernández ↑ · Coarasa ↓
70' Bauzà ↑ · Jaén ↓
83' Pagès ↑ · Dolan ↓
83' Milla ↑ · Jaén ↓

Statistics

RSO 2 – 1 ESP
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
17
Total Shots
11
10
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
3
19
Fouls
14
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

20 · 2 – 1
Ander Barrenetxea
Assist · Mikel Oyarzabal · 1–0
⚽
4'
Benat Turrientes
Yellow Card
▮
17'
22'
▮
Urko Gonzalez
Yellow Card
45'
⚽
Roberto Fernández Jaén
Assist · Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa · 1–1
45'
⇄
Gabriel Moscardo ↓ · Urko Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 1
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Assist · Mikel Oyarzabal · 2–1
⚽
61'
Yangel Herrera ↓ · Benat Turrientes ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
Alex Marchal García ↓ · Ander Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
70'
⇄
Marcos Fernández ↓ · Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⇄
Rafel Bauzà ↓ · Eduardo Expósito Jaén ↑
Substitution 3
75'
▮
Marcos Fernández
Yellow Card
Gonçalo Guedes ↓ · Orri Steinn Óskarsson ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
Takefusa Kubo ↓ · Luka Sučić ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
82'
▮
Roger Hinojo
Yellow Card
83'
⇄
Jofre Carreras Pagès ↓ · Tyrhys Dolan ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Pere Milla ↓ · Roberto Fernández Jaén ↑
Substitution 5
88'
▮
Rafel Bauzà
Yellow Card
Jon Gorrotxategi ↓ · Mikel Oyarzabal ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Igor Zubeldia
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
Pellegrino Matarazzo
Red Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.76. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ander Barrenetxea (4'), Roberto Fernández Jaén (45'), Orri Steinn Óskarsson (61'). Pellegrino Matarazzo was sent off in the 90+4' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.36 units (Brier 0.149).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.91 1.98 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 1.91 56% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.74 58% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 2.00 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.89 1.81 47% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 2.02 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 4.50 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.94 3.10 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.21 72% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.13 3.23 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 1.24 78% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 3.64 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 1.36 66% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.82 3.75 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.39 1.31 47% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −4.36u −29% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
RSO – ESP @ 4.00
+12.6%
Edge
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