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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Sociedad — Espanyol

Predictions by Market: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
D W L L D Away · last 5
Referee M. Orellana

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RSO
47%
Best 1.87
Draw
25%
Best 3.81
Away Win · ESP
28%
Best 4.58
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.55
book 4.00 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (47%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 53.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RSO – ESP @ 4.00
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →