Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia 3:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.62 — +11.2% better than the market.

Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia face off with similar recent form, both showing signs of defensive solidity rather than attacking firepower. The match hints at a cautious tempo, supported by strong odds favoring fewer goals. Home momentum is balanced by Valencia's slight edge in recent points per game, suggesting a tight contest.

Both sides exhibit compact defensive setups.
Limited attacking breakthroughs expected.
Low-scoring game likely with tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.62 ✗ Lost

AI 69% Implied 62% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

COR 4-4-2 · VAL 5-3-2

COR · 4-4-2 5-3-2 · VAL

32 Nsongo

Subs used · COR

64'

Gijselhart ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

73'

Hernandez ↑ ·

Luismi ↓

73'

Altimira ↑ ·

Soriano ↓

83'

Loureiro ↑ ·

Navarro ↓

83'

Asp ↑ ·

Nsongo ↓

Subs used · VAL

60'

Duro ↑ ·

Sato ↓

60'

Otorbi ↑ ·

Rioja ↓

60'

Danjuma ↑ ·

Guerra ↓

66'

Dieng ↑ ·

Pepelu ↓

82'

Raba ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

Statistics

COR 3 – 1 VAL

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.33

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 3 – 1

C. Tarrega

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

13'

P. Aubameyang

Assist · M. Soriano · 2–0

⚽

17'

26'

⚽

U. Sadiq

2–1

Half-time · 2 – 1

M. Diakhaby

Own goal · 3–1

⚽

59'

60'

⇄

H. Duro ↓ · R. Sato ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

D. Otorbi ↓ · L. Rioja ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

A. Danjuma ↓ · J. Guerra ↑

Substitution 3

T. Gijselhart ↓ · R. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

▮

M. Diakhaby

Yellow Card

66'

⇄

A. Dieng ↓ · Pepelu ↑

Substitution 4

Y. Hernandez ↓ · Cruz Luismi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

A. Altimira ↓ · M. Soriano ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

82'

⇄

D. Raba ↓ · A. Martinez ↑

Substitution 5

M. Loureiro ↓ · X. Navarro ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

J. Asp ↓ · B. Nsongo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

A. Altimira

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

A. Altimira

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

A. Altimira

Red Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Deportivo La Coruna beat Valencia 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.42 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Tarrega (13'), P. Aubameyang (17'), U. Sadiq (26'), M. Diakhaby (59'). A. Altimira was sent off in the 90+3' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.14 units (Brier 0.302).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.62	1.50	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	1.75	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.62	2.61	38%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.94	2.02	39%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.30	2.57	31%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.85	1.81	38%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.06	2.11	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.88	2.62	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	1.36	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.47	1.47	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	6.54	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.84	3.10	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	1.17	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.21	2.95	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	84%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	1.47	57%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.29	5.00	15%	Cashed	+3.29	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.14u	−1% ROI

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled