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Home Spain La Liga Deportivo La Coruna — Valencia

Preview Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
Home · last 5 D D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 17:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Valencia
Valencia
D L Away · last 5
Home Win · COR
38%
Best 2.69
Draw
28%
Best 3.20
Away Win · VAL
34%
Best 3.02

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 69% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams not to score 61%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia face off with similar recent form, both showing signs of defensive solidity rather than attacking firepower. The match hints at a cautious tempo, supported by strong odds favoring fewer goals. Home momentum is balanced by Valencia's slight edge in recent points per game, suggesting a tight contest.

  • Both sides exhibit compact defensive setups.
  • Limited attacking breakthroughs expected.
  • Low-scoring game likely with tactical discipline.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 38% Deportivo La Coruna win
Over/Under 2.5 69% Under 2.5
BTTS 61% No
Double Chance 66% 1X
  • 1X2 Deportivo La Coruna win 38%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69%
  • BTTS No 61%
  • Double Chance 1X 66%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Deportivo La Coruna
W/D/L 0-2-0
Goals (for / against) 2 / 2
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 2/2
Clean sheets 0/2
Both teams scored 2/2
Over 2.5 0/2
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-0
xG (for / against) 0.73 / 1.69
Valencia
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.10 / 1.01

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
0
1
Goals Conceded
0.50
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
3.50
Shots on Target
2.50
3
Corners
4.50
42
Possession (%)
43
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
0
OFF · home
36
36
DEF · home
79
53
OFF · away
13
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Deportivo La Coruna wins when scoring first
0%
Valencia wins when scoring first
100%
Deportivo La Coruna BTTS rate · last 2
100%
Valencia BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Deportivo La Coruna Over 2.5 · last 2
0%
Valencia Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Deportivo La Coruna comeback rate · last 2
Valencia comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Deportivo La Coruna · last 1 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 100%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Valencia · last 10 away

0–15 7%
16–30 29%
31–45 14%
46–60 0%
61–75 21%
76–90 29%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

P. Aubameyang
COR · Attacker
2 G · 1.01 g/90
L. Amatucci
COR · Midfielder
0 G · 0.00 g/90