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Levante vs Real Betis 5:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 D W D L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 15:00
5:2
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
L W W W D Away · last 5
Referee R. De Burgos
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.07 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 43% · book 2.23 ✗
Total goals
7
5 · 2
xG (open play)
2.99 – 1.97
Δ +1.02
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.91 — +14.6% better than the market.

Levante face Real Betis with contrasting momentum. Betis arrive on a strong winning streak, showing better form and a higher points rate, while Levante have struggled recently. The match hints at a cautious tempo, supported by balanced odds on goals. Betis’ attacking edge against Levante’s defense could be decisive, but Levante’s home resilience might keep the score tight.

  • Betis’ recent form suggests confidence and attacking threat
  • Levante’s home setup may blunt Betis’ offense
  • Odds imply a moderate-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.91 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEV 4-1-4-1 · BET 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEV
46' Toljan ↑ · Perez ↓
65' Sotelo ↑ · Bardeli ↓
72' Garcia ↑ · Fernandez ↓
72' Etta Eyong ↑ · Romero ↓
84' Cortes ↑ · Brugue ↓
Subs used · BET
57' Fornals ↑ · Isco ↓
57' Hernandez ↑ · Parrott ↓
67' Garcia ↑ · Roca ↓
67' Deossa ↑ · Riquelme ↓
74' Ezzalzouli ↑ · Bernal ↓

Statistics

LEV 5 – 2 BET
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.99
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.97
19
Total Shots
20
10
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
12
14
Shots Inside Box
16
5
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
7
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 5 – 2
Dela
Assist · J. A. Olasagasti · 1–0
⚽
24'
34'
⚽
M. Bartra
1–1
E. Bardeli
2–1
⚽
45+1'
Half-time · 2 – 1
J. Toljan ↓ · N. Perez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
45+4'
⚽
R. Riquelme
Assist · M. Roca · 2–2
R. Brugue
Assist · E. Bardeli · 3–2
⚽
56'
57'
⇄
P. Fornals ↓ · Isco ↑
Substitution 1
57'
⇄
C. Hernandez ↓ · T. Parrott ↑
Substitution 2
H. Sotelo ↓ · E. Bardeli ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
67'
⇄
P. Garcia ↓ · M. Roca ↑
Substitution 3
67'
⇄
N. Deossa ↓ · R. Riquelme ↑
Substitution 4
69'
▮
P. Garcia
Yellow Card
R. Brugue
4–2
⚽
70'
V. Garcia ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
K. Etta Eyong ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
74'
⇄
A. Ezzalzouli ↓ · F. Bernal ↑
Substitution 5
P. Cortes ↓ · R. Brugue ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
J. Toljan
Yellow Card
▮
86'
J. A. Olasagasti
Assist · K. Etta Eyong · 5–2
⚽
90+5'
Full-time · 5 – 2

Match recap

Levante beat Real Betis 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.99 to 1.97. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.99 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: Dela (24'), M. Bartra (34'), E. Bardeli (45+1'), R. Riquelme (45+4'), R. Brugue (56'), R. Brugue (70'), J. A. Olasagasti (90+5').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +0.54 units (Brier 0.332).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.91 1.91 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.07 2.07 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.23 2.27 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.65 1.61 57% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.91 1.91 40% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.69 1.69 45% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.39 2.36 30% Cashed +1.39 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.62 1.63 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.45 3.50 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 1.33 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.36 1.33 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.30 3.30 30% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Draw 3.35 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 1.25 63% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.32 3.19 19% Cashed +2.32 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +0.54u +4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LEV – BET @ 1.91
+14.6%
Edge
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