Match Elche vs Barcelona August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home 0 at 6.18 — +12.9% better than the market.

Barcelona enters this La Liga clash with a clear quality edge and away momentum, despite limited recent form data. Elche's home resilience and a recent draw hint at a compact defensive setup aiming to frustrate. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, reflecting Barcelona's attacking threat against Elche's defense.

Barcelona's superior quality and away experience
Elche's defensive discipline at home
Potential for a balanced tempo with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Home 0

AH Home 0 @ 6.18 ✗ Lost

AI 18% Implied 16% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ELC 5-4-1 · BAR 4-2-3-1

ELC · 5-4-1 4-2-3-1 · BAR

14 Niño

Subs used · ELC

64'

Cepeda ↑ ·

Morente ↓

64'

Neto ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

64'

Buonanotte ↑ ·

Houary ↓

69'

Ponce ↑ ·

Nino ↓

81'

Bigas ↑ ·

Redondo Solari ↓

Subs used · BAR

45'

Pedri ↑ ·

Gavi ↓

65'

Olmo ↑ ·

Adeyemi ↓

65'

Gordon ↑ ·

Yamal ↓

80'

Kounde ↑ ·

Bernal ↓

80'

Cancelo ↑ ·

Raphinha ↓

📊 Statistics

ELC 0 – 5 BAR

46%

Possession (%)

54%

0.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

4.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 5

14'

⚽

Raphinha (P)

Penalty · 0–1

A. Houary

Yellow Card

▮

33'

45'

⇄

Pedri ↓ · Gavi ↑

Substitution 1

45+3'

⚽

K. Adeyemi

Assist · Raphinha · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

L. Cepeda ↓ · Tete Morente ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

M. Neto ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

F. Buonanotte ↓ · A. Houary ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

65'

⇄

D. Olmo ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

A. Gordon ↓ · Lamine Yamal ↑

Substitution 3

67'

⚽

Raphinha

Assist · A. Gordon · 0–3

E. Ponce ↓ · F. Nino ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

71'

⚽

Fermin

Assist · A. Gordon · 0–4

79'

⚽

Fermin

Assist · X. Espart · 0–5

80'

⇄

J. Kounde ↓ · M. Bernal ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

J. Cancelo ↓ · Raphinha ↑

Substitution 5

P. Bigas ↓ · F. Redondo Solari ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

Full-time · 0 – 5

Match recap

Barcelona won 5–0 away at Elche. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 4.13 to 0.72. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 7 on target.

On the scoresheet: Raphinha (14'), K. Adeyemi (45+3'), Raphinha (67'), Fermin (71'), Fermin (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.72 units (Brier 0.121).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.74	1.67	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.18	2.20	44%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.74	1.75	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.01	1.98	46%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.60	2.60	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.75	8.47	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.28	3.28	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.18	6.21	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	1.46	64%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.08	1.08	82%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Away Win	1.33	1.34	63%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.10	1.10	63%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	5.38	5.26	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.00	16.95	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	1.11	83%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.40	5.49	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.72u	−34% ROI