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Home › England › Premier League › Everton — Ipswich

Everton vs Ipswich 1:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Everton
Everton
Home · last 5 W D D D W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Ipswich
Ipswich
L L W L W Away · last 5
Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool Referee Stuart Attwell
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 49% · book 2.03 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.80 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.73 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.42 — +9.4% better than the market.

Everton shows home momentum with a solid recent run, while Ipswich’s form is more inconsistent. The attacking edge slightly favors Ipswich, suggesting a lively contest with chances at both ends. Expect Everton’s compact block and home familiarity to challenge Ipswich’s pressing style. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a balanced goal environment.

  • Everton’s steady home form offers resilience.
  • Ipswich’s attack could test Everton’s defense.
  • Match likely to see chances for both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.42 ✗ Lost
AI 25% Implied 23% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EVE 4-2-3-1 · IPS 4-2-3-1
Subs used · EVE
66' Dibling ↑ · Johnson ↓
79' George ↑ · Grealish ↓
90+1' Hackney ↑ · Dewsbury-Hall ↓
90+1' O'Brien ↑ · Maitland-Niles ↓
Subs used · IPS
66' Philogene-Bidace ↑ · Clarke ↓
73' Luís ↑ · Lukić ↓
74' Maeda ↑ · Enciso ↓
81' Akpom ↑ · Palacios ↓
81' Flemming ↑ · Emersonn ↓

Statistics

EVE 1 – 0 IPS
52%
Possession (%)
48%
21
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
4
11
Shots off Target
5
13
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
Thierno Barry
Assist · James Tarkowski · 1–0
⚽
11'
35'
▮
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Yellow Card
Vitaliy Mykolenko
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
66'
⇄
Jaden Philogene-Bidace ↓ · Jack Clarke ↑
Substitution 1
Tyler Dibling ↓ · Brennan Johnson ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
67'
▮
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Red Card
73'
⇄
Florentino Luís ↓ · Saša Lukić ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
Daizen Maeda ↓ · Julio Enciso ↑
Substitution 3
Tyrique George ↓ · Jack Grealish ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
79'
81'
⇄
Chuba Akpom ↓ · Exequiel Palacios ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
Zian Flemming ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 5
Hayden Hackney ↓ · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+1'
Jake O'Brien ↓ · Ainsley Maitland-Niles ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+1'
90+2'
▮
Zian Flemming
Yellow Card
Harrison Armstrong
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Everton beat Ipswich 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 13, 2 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Thierno Barry (11'). Abdul Fatawu Issahaku was sent off in the 67' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.43 units (Brier 0.209).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.03 1.95 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 1.73 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 1.67 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 2.10 47% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 2.10 45% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.75 1.81 51% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Away Win 4.42 4.27 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.92 2.75 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 1.22 75% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.20 3.19 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 1.22 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 93% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.38 1.40 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.70 3.77 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.86 4.20 23% Cashed +2.86 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 12.99 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.32 1.32 51% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.43u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
EVE – IPS @ 4.42
+9.4%
Edge
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