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Home › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Hull City

Newcastle vs Hull City 2:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 D W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Hull City
Hull City
W W D D L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Tony Harrington
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 35% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.06 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.30 — +9.3% better than the market.

Newcastle hosts Hull City in a Premier League clash where home momentum is mixed, but Hull's recent form shows signs of improvement. Newcastle's compact defensive block may face challenges from Hull's sharper attack, though the home side's resilience at St. James' Park offers a slight edge. Expect a moderately paced game with tactical caution from both sides.

  • Newcastle's home solidity vs Hull's rising offensive threat
  • Recent form favors Hull slightly, but Newcastle's home crowd influence matters
  • Odds suggest a balanced contest with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.30 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 43% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NEW 4-2-3-1 · HUL 5-4-1
NEW · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · HUL 21 Horníček 23 Murphy 12 Thiaw 4 Botman 3 Hall ⚽ 14 Steur 67 Miley 11 Barnes 28 Willock ⚽ 20 Fernandez-Pardo 9 Wissa ⚽ 19 Tzolakis 2 Coyle 6 Ajayi 15 Egan 22 Herrington 3 Giles 10 Belloumi 25 Crooks 27 Slater 7 Thomas 9 McBurnie
Subs used · NEW
66' Schär ↑ · Steur ↓
74' Touré ↑ · Fernandez-Pardo ↓
87' Bamba ↑ · Willock ↓
Subs used · HUL
45' Iroegbunam ↑ · Crooks ↓
63' Cho ↑ · Thomas ↓
78' Gourna-Douath ↑ · Slater ↓
78' Vaz ↑ · Egan ↓
83' Gelhardt ↑ · Belloumi ↓

Statistics

NEW 2 – 1 HUL
56%
Possession (%)
44%
12
Total Shots
22
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
4
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
Joe Willock
Assist · Harvey Barnes · 1–0
⚽
3'
Lewis Hall
Assist · Harvey Barnes · 2–0
⚽
7'
29'
▮
Matt Crooks
Yellow Card
39'
▮
Mohamed Belloumi
Yellow Card
45'
⇄
Tim Iroegbunam ↓ · Matt Crooks ↑
Substitution 1
45+2'
▮
Konstantinos Tzolakis
Yellow Card
Yoane Wissa (P)
Penalty · 3–0
⚽
45+2'
Jacob Murphy
Yellow Card
▮
45+3'
Half-time · 3 – 0
49'
▮
Ryan Giles
Yellow Card
63'
⇄
Mohamed Ali Cho ↓ · Sorba Thomas ↑
Substitution 2
Fabian Schär ↓ · Sean Steur ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
67'
⚽
Mohamed Ali Cho
Assist · Mohamed Belloumi · 3–1
Bazoumana Touré ↓ · Matias Fernandez-Pardo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
78'
⇄
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↓ · Regan Slater ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⇄
Robinio Vaz ↓ · John Egan ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Joe Gelhardt ↓ · Mohamed Belloumi ↑
Substitution 5
Aladji Bamba ↓ · Joe Willock ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
87'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Newcastle beat Hull City 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 12, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Joe Willock (3'), Lewis Hall (7'), Mohamed Ali Cho (67').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.95 units (Brier 0.104).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.30 2.30 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.30 2.30 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.06 2.11 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.72 1.68 53% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 1.67 52% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.54 2.62 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.53 1.50 69% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Away Win 5.78 5.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.35 4.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.13 1.17 78% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Home Win 1.62 1.62 64% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 14.93 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.66 3.66 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.58 4.33 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 1.16 75% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.22 1.22 64% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.95u −35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NEW – HUL @ 2.30
+9.3%
Edge
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