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Home › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Hull City

Predictions by Market: Newcastle vs Hull City

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 D W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Hull City
Hull City
W W D D L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Tony Harrington

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NEW
65%
Best 1.65
Draw
21%
Best 4.42
Away Win · HUL
22%
Best 5.44
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.10
book 2.30 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 21.7%
Odds 5.78
Show model details
Implied probability 17.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.58
Show model details
Implied probability 21.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.6%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14.2%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NEW – HUL @ 2.30
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →