Manchester United vs Manchester City 0:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.10 — +14.8% better than the market.

Manchester United host Manchester City at Old Trafford in a clash where recent form favors the visitors, who boast a strong winning streak. Despite City's momentum, United's home resilience and historical edge in this derby suggest a tightly contested battle. The match hints at a high tempo with over 2.5 goals likely, reflecting both sides' attacking intent and past high-scoring encounters.

United's home grit counters City's current form
High-scoring derby history fuels attacking play
Expect an open game with goal opportunities on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.10 ✗ Lost

AI 37% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MUN 4-2-3-1 · MCI 4-2-3-1

MUN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MCI

10 Cunha

Subs used · MUN

67'

Šeško ↑ ·

Tielemans ↓

83'

Zirkzee ↑ ·

Rashford ↓

Subs used · MCI

45'

Ndiaye ↑ ·

Cherki ↓

82'

O'Reilly ↑ ·

Fernández ↓

Statistics

MUN 0 – 1 MCI

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

10 · 0 – 1

23'

▮

Phil Foden

Red Card

45'

⇄

Iliman Ndiaye ↓ · Rayan Cherki ↑

Substitution 1

45+1'

▮

Vincenzo Maresca

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

60'

⚽

Erling Haaland

0–1

Benjamin Šeško ↓ · Youri Tielemans ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

79'

▮

Josko Gvardiol

Yellow Card

80'

▮

Enzo Fernández

Yellow Card

Harry Maguire

Yellow Card

▮

81'

82'

⇄

Nico O'Reilly ↓ · Enzo Fernández ↑

Substitution 2

Joshua Zirkzee ↓ · Marcus Rashford ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

83'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Manchester City won 1–0 away at Manchester United. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Erling Haaland (60'). Phil Foden was sent off in the 23' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.14 units (Brier 0.351).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.26	2.30	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.70	1.69	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.33	2.31	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.10	2.17	38%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.69	1.62	45%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
BTTS No	2.62	2.62	28%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.50	2.50	26%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.65	1.65	38%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Home Win	3.10	3.10	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	1.50	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	1.44	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	1.36	63%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.13	1.13	90%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.75	3.75	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	16.95	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.20	5.00	10%	Cashed	+4.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.14u	+7% ROI

Manchester United vs Manchester City 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled