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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester United — Manchester City

Predictions by Market: Manchester United vs Manchester City

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W D L D D
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 15:30
0:1
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
W W W W W Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MUN
37%
Best 3.18
Draw
25%
Best 3.94
Away Win · MCI
39%
Best 2.23
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.70
book 3.10 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 37%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 55.5%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 27.8%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 37%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
MUN – MCI @ 3.10
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →