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Home › England › Premier League › Coventry — Brighton

Coventry vs Brighton 0:5: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Coventry
Coventry
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 13:00
0:5
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
L D W W W Away · last 5
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 51% · book 2.00 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.82 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.70 ✗
Total goals
5
0 · 5
Possession
31% – 69%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.20 — +9.7% better than the market.

Brighton enters this clash with a clear form advantage and better recent points per game, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Coventry's struggles at home and lack of momentum could be exploited by Brighton's more stable attack and defensive resilience. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a slight lean towards goals, given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals.

  • Brighton's recent form and points edge
  • Coventry's home difficulties
  • Potential for open play and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 4.20 ✗ Lost
AI 26% Implied 24% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

COV 3-4-2-1 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · COV
60' Cherif ↑ · Mason-Clark ↓
73' Thomas-Asante ↑ · Rudoni ↓
73' Yirenkyi ↑ · Onyeka ↓
84' Torp ↑ · Grimes ↓
Subs used · BRI
65' Andrés ↑ · Yalcouyé ↓
78' Osman ↑ · Boscagli ↓
78' Struijk ↑ · Vuskovic ↓
84' O'Riley ↑ · Kostoulas ↓
84' Costinha ↑ · Gomez ↓

Statistics

COV 0 – 5 BRI
31%
Possession (%)
69%
14
Total Shots
22
6
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
10
12
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
15
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

15 · 0 – 5
35'
⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas
Assist · Pascal Groß · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
51'
⚽
Malick Yalcouyé
Assist · Maxim De Cuyper · 0–2
Taiwo Awoniyi
Red Card
▮
53'
Sidiki Cherif ↓ · Ephron Mason-Clark ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
65'
⇄
Chema Andrés ↓ · Malick Yalcouyé ↑
Substitution 1
70'
⚽
Pascal Groß (P)
Penalty · 0–3
Brandon Thomas-Asante ↓ · Jack Rudoni ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
Caleb Yirenkyi ↓ · Frank Onyeka ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
78'
⇄
Ibrahim Osman ↓ · Olivier Boscagli ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
Pascal Struijk ↓ · Luka Vuskovic ↑
Substitution 3
83'
⚽
Lewis Dunk
Assist · Chema Andrés · 0–4
Victor Torp ↓ · Matt Grimes ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
84'
84'
⇄
Matt O'Riley ↓ · Charalampos Kostoulas ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
Costinha ↓ · Diego Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
⚽
Yasin Ayari
Assist · Pascal Groß · 0–5
Full-time · 0 – 5

Match recap

Brighton won 5–0 away at Coventry. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 14, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: Charalampos Kostoulas (35'), Malick Yalcouyé (51'), Pascal Groß (70'), Lewis Dunk (83'), Yasin Ayari (90+4'). Taiwo Awoniyi was sent off in the 53' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.47 units (Brier 0.178).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.00 1.84 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.82 1.73 56% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.61 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 2.21 44% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Away Win 1.85 1.90 49% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.06 2.15 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.20 3.95 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.92 2.64 34% Cashed +1.92 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.22 1.26 74% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.01 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 1.18 79% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Draw 3.70 3.86 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 1.44 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.31 2.92 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.92 4.33 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 12.99 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.37 1.43 49% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.47u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
COV – BRI @ 4.20
+9.7%
Edge
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