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Home › England › Premier League › Coventry — Brighton

Predictions by Market: Coventry vs Brighton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Coventry
Coventry
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 13:00
0:5
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
L D W W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · COV
26%
Best 4.06
Draw
25%
Best 3.94
Away Win · BRI
49%
Best 1.94
Value pick
Home Win
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.83
book 4.20 · +9.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +9.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (49%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 26.1%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.31
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
COV – BRI @ 4.20
+9.7%
Edge
Forecast →