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Home › England › Premier League › Crystal Palace — Ipswich

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich 2:3: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L L W L D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
2:3
Full-time
Ipswich
Ipswich
L L W L W Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.95 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.73 ✓
Total goals
5
2 · 3
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.91 — +3.7% better than the market.

Crystal Palace hosts Ipswich in a clash where both sides show recent struggles, but Ipswich's slightly better form and higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge. Palace's home momentum is limited, while Ipswich could exploit defensive gaps. The match may see a balanced tempo with neither side dominating possession, suggesting a cautious approach.

  • Ipswich's attacking threat contrasts with Palace's defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Home crowd support might help Palace maintain compactness.
  • Recent head-to-heads show tight contests, indicating a close battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 52% +0.91u
+91%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · IPS 4-2-3-1
CRY · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · IPS 44 Benítez 26 Richards 5 Disasi 21 Ahanor 25 Khalaili ⚽ 23 Timber 20 Wharton 3 Mitchell 18 Kamada 10 Pino 22 Strand Larsen ⚽ 37 Scherpen 26 O'Shea 6 Diop 24 Greaves 3 Davis ⚽ 23 Lukić 25 Palacios 7 Fatawu 10 Enciso 47 Clarke 19 Emersonn ⚽
Subs used · CRY
37' Tomiyasu ↑ · Pino ↓
77' Hughes ↑ · Wharton ↓
77' Chilwell ↑ · Mitchell ↓
84' Lerma ↑ · Kamada ↓
84' Gozo ↑ · Larsen ↓
Subs used · IPS
62' Philogene-Bidace ↑ · Issahaku ↓
63' Maeda ↑ · Clarke ↓
63' Flemming ↑ · Emersonn ↓
77' Luís ↑ · Lukić ↓
88' Ouattara ↑ · Greaves ↓

Statistics

CRY 2 – 3 IPS
46%
Possession (%)
54%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 2 – 3
Anan Khalaili
Assist · Daichi Kamada · 1–0
⚽
14'
23'
⚽
Emersonn
Assist · Leif Davis · 1–1
Axel Disasi
Red Card
▮
34'
Takehiro Tomiyasu ↓ · Yeremy Pino ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
37'
43'
▮
Jack Clarke
Yellow Card
45'
⚽
Leif Davis
Assist · Emersonn · 1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
58'
▮
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
Jaden Philogene-Bidace ↓ · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
Daizen Maeda ↓ · Jack Clarke ↑
Substitution 2
63'
⇄
Zian Flemming ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 3
70'
▮
Saša Lukić
Yellow Card
Jörgen Strand Larsen
Assist · Daichi Kamada · 2–2
⚽
75'
77'
⇄
Florentino Luís ↓ · Saša Lukić ↑
Substitution 4
Will Hughes ↓ · Adam Wharton ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
Ben Chilwell ↓ · Tyrick Mitchell ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
Jefferson Lerma ↓ · Daichi Kamada ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
84'
Zavier Gozo ↓ · Jörgen Strand Larsen ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
88'
⇄
Abdoul Ouattara ↓ · Jacob Greaves ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
Zian Flemming
2–3
Chris Richards
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Ipswich won 3–2 away at Crystal Palace. At half-time it was 1–2.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Anan Khalaili (14'), Emersonn (23'), Leif Davis (45'), Jörgen Strand Larsen (75'), Zian Flemming (90'). Axel Disasi was sent off in the 34' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.48 units (Brier 0.251).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.91 1.88 54% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.95 2.10 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 1.73 53% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 2.14 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 1.66 52% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Home Win 1.85 1.88 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 3.91 29% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 1.25 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.02 2.97 29% Cashed +2.02 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.42 1.42 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.01 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.32 1.41 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 1.20 74% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 2.75 31% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.58 4.20 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 12.99 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.48u +3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
CRY – IPS @ 1.91
+3.7%
Edge
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