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Home › England › Premier League › Chelsea — Hull City

Chelsea vs Hull City 2:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Hull City
Hull City
W W D D L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.12 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.85 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.78 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.00 — +6.8% better than the market.

Chelsea hosts Hull City with clear home momentum, backed by a superior recent form and a strong attacking threat. Chelsea's ability to create chances contrasts with Hull's defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a tactical edge for the hosts. The match hints at a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, promising an open game with Chelsea pressing high and Hull aiming to counter.

  • Home side's attacking pressure versus away defensive gaps
  • Recent form favors Chelsea's confidence
  • Expected open tempo with goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 6.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 18% Implied 17% +5.00u
+500%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CHE 3-4-2-1 · HUL 5-4-1
CHE · 3-4-2-1 5-4-1 · HUL 1 Martínez 3 Fofana 6 Colwill 21 Hato 7 Neto 24 James 45 Lavia 27 Gusto 10 Palmer 17 Rogers ⚽ 9 Pedro ⚽ 19 Tzolakis 2 Coyle 6 Ajayi 15 Egan 32 Mendy 3 Giles 10 Belloumi ⚽ 25 Crooks 27 Slater 21 Stroud 9 McBurnie
Subs used · CHE
45' Chavarria ↑ · Hato ↓
70' Barco ↑ · Lavia ↓
78' Welbeck ↑ · Gusto ↓
86' Gonçalves ↑ · Neto ↓
86' Lacroix ↑ · Fofana ↓
Subs used · HUL
59' Herrington ↑ · Mendy ↓
60' Cho ↑ · Belloumi ↓
60' Thomas ↑ · Stroud ↓
69' Iroegbunam ↑ · Crooks ↓
82' Vaz ↑ · McBurnie ↓
82' Norton-Cuffy ↑ · Coyle ↓

Statistics

CHE 2 – 2 HUL
68%
Possession (%)
32%
12
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
9
11
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

21 · 2 – 2
Morgan Rogers
Assist · João Pedro · 1–0
⚽
7'
17'
▮
Oliver McBurnie
Yellow Card
28'
⚽
Mohamed Belloumi
Assist · Ryan Giles · 1–1
34'
⚽
Mohamed Belloumi
Assist · Oliver McBurnie · 1–2
Pep Chavarria ↓ · Jorrel Hato ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Half-time · 1 – 2
50'
▮
John Egan
Yellow Card
52'
▮
Matt Crooks
Yellow Card
59'
⇄
Lucas Herrington ↓ · Nobel Mendy ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
Mohamed Ali Cho ↓ · Mohamed Belloumi ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
Sorba Thomas ↓ · Elliot Stroud ↑
Substitution 3
João Pedro
Assist · Cole Palmer · 2–2
⚽
66'
69'
⇄
Tim Iroegbunam ↓ · Matt Crooks ↑
Substitution 4
Valentin Barco ↓ · Romeo Lavia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
Danny Welbeck ↓ · Malo Gusto ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
Valentin Barco
Yellow Card
▮
80'
82'
⇄
Robinio Vaz ↓ · Oliver McBurnie ↑
Substitution 5
82'
⇄
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↓ · Lewie Coyle ↑
Substitution 6
Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves ↓ · Pedro Neto ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
Maxence Lacroix ↓ · Wesley Fofana ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
88'
▮
Tim Iroegbunam
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Chelsea and Hull City drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Morgan Rogers (7'), Mohamed Belloumi (28'), Mohamed Belloumi (34'), João Pedro (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.52 units (Brier 0.205).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.12 2.00 47% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.85 1.88 51% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.78 1.80 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.88 1.93 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.72 3.00 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 12.00 12.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.96 4.10 30% Cashed +2.96 Cashed
Draw 6.00 6.71 18% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.42 1.38 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.05 1.04 88% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.25 1.22 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.04 1.04 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.10 1.08 86% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.83 5.99 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.80 6.80 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 18.87 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.52u +9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
CHE – HUL @ 6.00
+6.8%
Edge
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