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Home › England › Premier League › Chelsea — Hull City

Predictions by Market: Chelsea vs Hull City

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Hull City
Hull City
W W D D L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CHE
70%
Best 1.24
Draw
18%
Best 7.00
Away Win · HUL
12%
Best 12.20
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.61
book 6.00 · +6.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 18% · EV +6.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (70%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 12.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.8%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32.6%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 5.83
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 12.1%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29.9%
Odds 3.96
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
CHE – HUL @ 6.00
+6.8%
Edge
Forecast →