Everton vs Manchester United 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.64 — +14.9% better than the market.

Everton show solid home momentum with recent steady form and a higher points per game rate, suggesting they can challenge Manchester United effectively. The visitors have a slight edge in expected goals, hinting at attacking threat, but Everton's resilience and compact block could limit United's chances. The match hints at a balanced tempo with a good chance for goals given both sides' tendencies.

Everton's home form and points advantage
Manchester United's attacking potential
Moderate pace favoring open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.64 ✗ Lost

AI 32% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EVE 4-2-3-1 · MUN 4-2-3-1

EVE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MUN

11 Barry

Subs used · EVE

66'

Grealish ↑ ·

Johnson ↓

75'

Hackney ↑ ·

Röhl ↓

77'

Maitland-Niles ↑ ·

Garner ↓

Subs used · MUN

70'

Dorgu ↑ ·

Rashford ↓

70'

Šeško ↑ ·

Cunha ↓

84'

Santos ↑ ·

Mainoo ↓

84'

Yoro ↑ ·

Dalot ↓

90+1'

Mazraoui ↑ ·

Shaw ↓

Statistics

EVE 2 – 2 MUN

45%

Possession (%)

55%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 2 – 2

Harrison Armstrong

Yellow Card

▮

13'

Brennan Johnson

Yellow Card

▮

34'

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⚽

Bryan Mbeumo

Assist · Kobbie Mainoo · 0–1

62'

▮

Luke Shaw

Yellow Card

Merlin Röhl

Yellow Card

▮

64'

Jack Grealish ↓ · Brennan Johnson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

70'

⇄

Patrick Dorgu ↓ · Marcus Rashford ↑

Substitution 1

70'

⇄

Benjamin Šeško ↓ · Matheus Cunha ↑

Substitution 2

Hayden Hackney ↓ · Merlin Röhl ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

Ainsley Maitland-Niles ↓ · James Garner ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

79'

▮

Harry Maguire

Yellow Card

81'

▮

Diogo Dalot

Yellow Card

Tyrique George

Assist · Hayden Hackney · 1–1

⚽

83'

84'

⇄

Andrey Santos ↓ · Kobbie Mainoo ↑

Substitution 3

84'

⇄

Leny Yoro ↓ · Diogo Dalot ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⚽

Benjamin Šeško

Assist · Luke Shaw · 1–2

90+1'

⇄

Noussair Mazraoui ↓ · Luke Shaw ↑

Substitution 5

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

2–2

⚽

90+6'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Everton and Manchester United drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bryan Mbeumo (46'), Tyrique George (83'), Benjamin Šeško (88'), Ainsley Maitland-Niles (90+6').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.29 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.72	2.50	45%	Cashed	+1.72	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.73	1.67	65%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.62	1.74	61%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	2.25	2.03	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.27	2.39	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.63	2.62	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	2.30	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.52	1.52	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.64	3.64	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	1.53	64%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.38	1.30	65%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	1.51	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	1.20	84%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Draw	3.45	3.65	26%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.15	4.50	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−1.29u	−9% ROI

Everton vs Manchester United 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled