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Home › England › Premier League › Everton — Manchester United

Predictions by Market: Everton vs Manchester United

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Everton
Everton
Home · last 5 W D D D W
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 13:00
2:2
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W D L D D Away · last 5
Referee J. Brooks

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EVE
32%
Best 3.86
Draw
26%
Best 3.90
Away Win · MUN
39%
Best 2.10
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.64
Fair odds
3.17
book 3.64 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (39%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 31.6%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
EVE – MUN @ 3.64
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →