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Home England Premier League Newcastle — Bournemouth

Preview Newcastle vs Bournemouth September 5, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 11:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
L Away · last 5
Home Win · NEW
41%
Best 2.41
Draw
26%
Best 3.80
Away Win · BOU
33%
Best 2.96
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Newcastle
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.64 / 1.53
Bournemouth
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.59

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Conceded
2
1.42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
4
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
3
39
Possession (%)
34
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
40
OFF · home
10
DEF · home
OFF · away
40
DEF · away
30
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Newcastle wins when scoring first
33%
Bournemouth wins when scoring first
57%
Newcastle BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Bournemouth BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Newcastle Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Bournemouth Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Newcastle comeback rate · last 10
0%
Bournemouth comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Newcastle · last 10 at home

0–15 20%
16–30 15%
31–45 15%
46–60 10%
61–75 10%
76–90 30%

Bournemouth · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 17%
31–45 25%
46–60 17%
61–75 25%
76–90 17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

J. Willock
NEW · Midfielder
1 G
A. Elanga
NEW · Attacker
1 G
M. Tavernier
BOU · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90