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Manchester United vs Ipswich 5:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W D L D D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 15:30
5:2
Full-time
Ipswich
Ipswich
L L W L W Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Craig Pawson, England
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.62 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.56 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 62% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
7
5 · 2
xG (open play)
4.57 – 2.01
Δ +2.56
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.80 — +12.4% better than the market.

Manchester United hosts Ipswich at Old Trafford in a clash where home momentum is currently lacking, with United coming off a recent loss while Ipswich arrives on the back of a win. The home side’s defensive solidity may be tested by Ipswich’s pressing edge and recent form. Expect a lively encounter with a decent chance of goals given the attacking intent on both sides and the market’s lean towards over 2.5 goals.

  • Home side seeks to bounce back after a setback
  • Away team’s recent win boosts confidence
  • Potential for open play and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MUN 4-2-3-1 · IPS 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MUN
73' Mazraoui ↑ · Shaw ↓
74' Yoro ↑ · Dalot ↓
80' Santos ↑ · Mainoo ↓
80' Dorgu ↑ · Rashford ↓
80' Sesko ↑ · Cunha ↓
Subs used · IPS
46' Akpom ↑ · Emersonn ↓
62' Palacios ↑ · Nunez ↓
73' Furlong ↑ · Maeda ↓
73' Ouattara ↑ · Lukic ↓
83' McAteer ↑ · Fatawu ↓

Statistics

MUN 5 – 2 IPS
60%
Possession (%)
40%
4.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.01
33
Total Shots
9
12
Shots on Target
5
9
Shots off Target
3
19
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
12
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

21 · 5 – 2
29'
⚽
L. Davis
Assist · I. Fatawu · 0–1
33'
▮
S. Lukic
Yellow Card
37'
▮
I. Fatawu
Yellow Card
B. Fernandes
Assist · M. Cunha · 1–1
⚽
40'
Half-time · 1 – 1
46'
⇄
C. Akpom ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 1
J. Greaves
Own goal · 2–1
⚽
56'
60'
▮
J. Greaves
Yellow Card
B. Fernandes (P)
Penalty · 3–1
⚽
61'
62'
⇄
E. Palacios ↓ · M. Nunez ↑
Substitution 2
B. Fernandes
4–1
⚽
68'
73'
⇄
D. Furlong ↓ · D. Maeda ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
A. Ouattara ↓ · S. Lukic ↑
Substitution 4
N. Mazraoui ↓ · L. Shaw ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
73'
L. Yoro ↓ · D. Dalot ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
Andrey Santos ↓ · K. Mainoo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
P. Dorgu ↓ · M. Rashford ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
B. Sesko ↓ · M. Cunha ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
B. Mbeumo
Assist · B. Fernandes · 5–1
⚽
82'
83'
⇄
K. McAteer ↓ · I. Fatawu ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
⚽
C. Akpom
Assist · J. Enciso · 5–2
B. Mbeumo
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
Full-time · 5 – 2

Match recap

Manchester United beat Ipswich 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.57 to 2.01. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 33 shots to 9, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Davis (29'), B. Fernandes (40'), J. Greaves (56'), B. Fernandes (61'), B. Fernandes (68'), B. Mbeumo (82'), C. Akpom (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.15 units (Brier 0.103).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.62 1.50 67% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.56 2.30 47% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.74 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.60 2.60 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 2.02 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.82 3.05 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.00 8.26 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.43 1.36 59% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
AH Away 0 5.30 6.37 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.11 1.08 80% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.67 1.67 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.13 1.10 59% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 1.14 85% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 4.74 5.13 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 5.49 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 18.87 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.15u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MUN – IPS @ 1.80
+12.4%
Edge
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