🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 51% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Tottenham face a tough challenge at home against Newcastle, who show slightly better recent form with a draw compared to Tottenham's loss. The home side may struggle to find rhythm early on, while Newcastle's compact defense could limit clear chances. Expect a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely given both teams' conservative starts.
- Newcastle's resilience on the road offers a pressing edge.
- Tottenham's home momentum is currently low.
- Match may hinge on set-piece opportunities and defensive discipline.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 42% | Tottenham win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 51% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 50% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 67% | 1X |
- 1X2 Tottenham win 42%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51%
- BTTS Yes 50%
- Double Chance 1X 67%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Tottenham
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
5 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.11 / 1.30
Newcastle
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
9 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.64 / 1.53
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Tottenham wins when scoring first
60%
①
Newcastle wins when scoring first
33%
⚽
Tottenham BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Newcastle BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Tottenham Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Newcastle Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Tottenham comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Newcastle comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Tottenham · last 10 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
9%
31–45
36%
46–60
18%
61–75
27%
76–90
9%
Newcastle · last 10 away
0–15
20%
16–30
20%
31–45
30%
46–60
0%
61–75
20%
76–90
10%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
