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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Newcastle

Tottenham vs Newcastle 0:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:30
0:2
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
D W D L W Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee P. Bankes
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.38 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.20 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.04 – 0.75
Δ +0.29
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.20 — +11.9% better than the market.

Tottenham face a tough challenge at home against Newcastle, who show slightly better recent form with a draw compared to Tottenham's loss. The home side may struggle to find rhythm early on, while Newcastle's compact defense could limit clear chances. Expect a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely given both teams' conservative starts.

  • Newcastle's resilience on the road offers a pressing edge.
  • Tottenham's home momentum is currently low.
  • Match may hinge on set-piece opportunities and defensive discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.20 ✓ Cashed
AI 51% Implied 45% +1.20u
+120%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · NEW 4-2-3-1
TOT · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · NEW 31 Kinský 14 Gray 6 van Hecke 37 van de Ven 3 Robertson 16 Tonali 30 Bentancur 23 Porro 18 Fernandes 11 Tel 22 Marmoush 21 Horníček 37 Dedić 4 Botman 12 Thiaw 3 Hall 6 González 67 Miley 19 Elanga ⚽ 28 Willock 11 Barnes 9 Wissa ⚽
Subs used · TOT
68' Moore ↑ · Gray ↓
68' Udogie ↑ · Robertson ↓
68' Kudus ↑ · Tel ↓
75' Solanke ↑ · Tonali ↓
Subs used · NEW
71' Woltemade ↑ · Willock ↓
71' Steur ↑ · González ↓
82' Ramsey ↑ · Wissa ↓
82' Murphy ↑ · Elanga ↓
90+3' Touré ↑ · Barnes ↓

Statistics

TOT 0 – 2 NEW
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.04
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.75
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
7
9
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
9
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 0 – 2
Micky van de Ven
Yellow Card
▮
3'
13'
▮
Nico González
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
62'
⚽
Anthony Elanga
Assist · Amar Dedić · 0–1
Mikey Moore ↓ · Archie Gray ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
68'
Destiny Udogie ↓ · Andrew Robertson ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
Mohammed Kudus ↓ · Mathys Tel ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
71'
⇄
Nick Woltemade ↓ · Joe Willock ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
Sean Steur ↓ · Nico González ↑
Substitution 2
72'
⚽
Yoane Wissa
Assist · Nick Woltemade · 0–2
Dominic Solanke ↓ · Sandro Tonali ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
79'
▮
Sven Botman
Yellow Card
82'
⇄
Jacob Ramsey ↓ · Yoane Wissa ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
Jacob Murphy ↓ · Anthony Elanga ↑
Substitution 4
90+3'
⇄
Bazoumana Touré ↓ · Harvey Barnes ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Newcastle won 2–0 away at Tottenham. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Anthony Elanga (62'), Yoane Wissa (72').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.78 units (Brier 0.215).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.38 2.42 50% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.20 2.30 51% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.67 1.66 58% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 2.18 2.17 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 1.62 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.31 2.34 33% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 2.50 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.66 1.64 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 4.65 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 1.50 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 3.05 3.10 33% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 1.36 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.54 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 3.77 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 1.16 74% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −0.78u −5% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
TOT – NEW @ 2.20
+11.9%
Edge
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