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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Everton

Bournemouth vs Everton 1:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Everton
Everton
W D D D W Away · last 5
Referee C. Kavanagh
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.06 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 56% · book 1.77 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.14 – 1.72
Δ +0.42
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.50 — +5.1% better than the market.

Bournemouth hosts Everton in a Premier League clash where Everton's recent form offers a slight edge, coming off a win while Bournemouth lost their last game. The match hints at a balanced pace with odds suggesting a tight contest under 2.5 goals. Everton's away resilience and Bournemouth's home motivation could lead to a tactical battle, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

  • Everton's momentum from their recent win
  • Bournemouth's home crowd support may boost their compact defense
  • Moderate tempo expected, favoring cautious play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.50 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 29% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · EVE 4-2-3-1
BOU · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EVE 1 Petrović 15 Smith 14 Silva 5 Hill 3 Truffert 8 Scott ⚽ 4 Cook 37 Rayan 19 Kluivert 16 Tavernier 9 Evanilson 1 Pickford 34 Röhl 6 Tarkowski ⚽ 4 Branthwaite 16 Mykolenko 45 Armstrong 37 Garner 19 George 8 Dewsbury-Hall 10 Ndiaye 11 Barry
Subs used · BOU
69' Adams ↑ · Cook ↓
81' Rodríguez ↑ · Evanilson ↓
81' Brooks ↑ · Kluivert ↓
87' Christie ↑ · Scott ↓
Subs used · EVE
62' Hackney ↑ · Garner ↓
62' Johnson ↑ · George ↓
70' Beto ↑ · Barry ↓
87' Alcaraz ↑ · Armstrong ↓
87' Iroegbunam ↑ · Röhl ↓

Statistics

BOU 1 – 1 EVE
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.72
17
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
14
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
3
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Alex Scott
Yellow Card
▮
21'
Adam Smith
Yellow Card
▮
23'
Alex Scott
Assist · Francisco Evanilson · 1–0
⚽
41'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Marcus Tavernier
Yellow Card
▮
53'
59'
▮
James Garner
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
Hayden Hackney ↓ · James Garner ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
Brennan Johnson ↓ · Tyrique George ↑
Substitution 2
Tyler Adams ↓ · Lewis Cook ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
69'
70'
⇄
Beto ↓ · Thierno Barry ↑
Substitution 3
Álvaro Rodríguez ↓ · Francisco Evanilson ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
81'
David Brooks ↓ · Justin Kluivert ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
81'
87'
⇄
Charly Alcaraz ↓ · Harrison Armstrong ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
Tim Iroegbunam ↓ · Merlin Röhl ↑
Substitution 5
Ryan Christie ↓ · Alex Scott ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
90+1'
⚽
James Tarkowski
1–1
90+5'
▮
Charly Alcaraz
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Bournemouth and Everton drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 7. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alex Scott (41'), James Tarkowski (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.21 units (Brier 0.176).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.06 2.06 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 1.91 52% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.77 1.74 56% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.91 1.91 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.00 2.10 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.72 1.72 51% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.61 2.58 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.50 3.60 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.29 1.29 70% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.12 3.19 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.53 1.54 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.66 3.70 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 1.31 73% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 1.25 73% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.50 3.45 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −2.21u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
BOU – EVE @ 3.50
+5.1%
Edge
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