🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 52% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Bournemouth hosts Everton in a Premier League clash where Everton's recent form offers a slight edge, coming off a win while Bournemouth lost their last game. The match hints at a balanced pace with odds suggesting a tight contest under 2.5 goals. Everton's away resilience and Bournemouth's home motivation could lead to a tactical battle, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.
- Everton's momentum from their recent win
- Bournemouth's home crowd support may boost their compact defense
- Moderate tempo expected, favoring cautious play
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Bournemouth win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 52% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 70% | 1X |
- 1X2 Bournemouth win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52%
- BTTS Yes 51%
- Double Chance 1X 70%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 4.20 ↓ 3.50 (-17%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Bournemouth
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 4
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.33 / 1.59
Everton
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.36 / 1.56
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Bournemouth wins when scoring first
57%
①
Everton wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Bournemouth BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Everton BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Bournemouth Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Everton Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Bournemouth comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Everton comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Bournemouth · last 10 at home
0–15
6%
16–30
12%
31–45
24%
46–60
12%
61–75
12%
76–90
35%
Everton · last 10 away
0–15
8%
16–30
23%
31–45
8%
46–60
15%
61–75
8%
76–90
38%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
