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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Everton

Predictions by Market: Bournemouth vs Everton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Everton
Everton
W D D D W Away · last 5
Referee C. Kavanagh

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BOU
44%
Best 2.14
Draw
26%
Best 3.60
Away Win · EVE
30%
Best 3.70
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.50 · +5.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +5.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
BOU – EVE @ 3.50
+5.1%
Edge
Forecast →