Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.61 — +11.4% better than the market.

Liverpool hosts Nottingham Forest at Anfield, where home momentum and a solid defensive setup could be key. Liverpool's recent draw contrasts with Forest's struggles, hinting at a slight edge for the hosts. The pace suggests a moderately open game, but both sides may prioritize structure over risk.

Liverpool's home advantage and compact block may limit Forest's attacking threat.
Forest's low form and away difficulties could see them under pressure.
Moderate tempo likely, favoring disciplined play and fewer goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.61 ✓ Cashed

AI 43% Implied 38% +1.61u

+161%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · NOT 3-4-2-1

LIV · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · NOT

1 Becker

30 Frimpong

5 Jacquet

9 Isak ⚽

Subs used · LIV

71'

Ngumoha ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

71'

Tsimikas ↑ ·

Kerkez ↓

71'

Gravenberch ↑ ·

Frimpong ↓

77'

Araujo ↑ · Jacquet ↓

77'

Nyoni ↑ ·

Allister ↓

Subs used · NOT

66'

Delap ↑ ·

Ndoye ↓

86'

Netz ↑ ·

Aina ↓

90+2'

Hudson-Odoi ↑ ·

Mcatee ↓

90+2'

Domínguez ↑ ·

Jesus ↓

Statistics

LIV 2 – 2 NOT

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.61

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 2 – 2

24'

⚽

Dan Ndoye

Assist · Morgan Gibbs-White · 0–1

44'

▮

Igor Jesus

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

50'

▮

Ola Aina

Yellow Card

Víctor Muñoz

Yellow Card

▮

54'

Florian Wirtz

Yellow Card

▮

58'

Alexander Isak

Assist · Cody Gakpo · 1–1

⚽

60'

66'

⇄

Liam Delap ↓ · Dan Ndoye ↑

Substitution 1

Alisson Becker

Yellow Card

▮

69'

70'

⚽

Morgan Gibbs-White (P)

Penalty · 1–2

Rio Ngumoha ↓ · Cody Gakpo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

Konstantinos Tsimikas ↓ · Milos Kerkez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

Ryan Gravenberch ↓ · Jeremie Frimpong ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

Ronald Araujo ↓ · Jérémy Jacquet ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

Treymaurice Nyoni ↓ · Alexis Mac Allister ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

Ronald Araujo

Yellow Card

▮

79'

Víctor Muñoz

Assist · Florian Wirtz · 2–2

⚽

82'

86'

⇄

Luca Netz ↓ · Ola Aina ↑

Substitution 2

90+2'

⇄

Callum Hudson-Odoi ↓ · James Mcatee ↑

Substitution 3

90+2'

⇄

Nicolás Domínguez ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.30 to 1.61. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Dan Ndoye (24'), Alexander Isak (60'), Morgan Gibbs-White (70'), Víctor Muñoz (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.83 units (Brier 0.201).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.61	2.54	43%	Cashed	+1.61	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	2.06	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.38	2.38	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.43	2.45	38%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.72	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Away Win	6.00	5.88	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.52	1.53	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	1.62	60%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	1.15	79%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Home Win	1.45	1.52	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.63	4.50	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.03	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.50	4.55	21%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	1.16	80%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.58	4.65	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	14.93	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.17	1.18	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.83u	−5% ROI

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled