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Home England Premier League Liverpool — Nottingham Forest

Preview Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 11:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
L Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee S. Barrott
Home Win · LIV
57%
Best 1.52
Draw
21%
Best 4.78
Away Win · NOT
21%
Best 6.65

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: Liverpool to win 57%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Liverpool hosts Nottingham Forest at Anfield, where home momentum and a solid defensive setup could be key. Liverpool's recent draw contrasts with Forest's struggles, hinting at a slight edge for the hosts. The pace suggests a moderately open game, but both sides may prioritize structure over risk.

  • Liverpool's home advantage and compact block may limit Forest's attacking threat.
  • Forest's low form and away difficulties could see them under pressure.
  • Moderate tempo likely, favoring disciplined play and fewer goals.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 57% Liverpool win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Over 2.5
BTTS 50% Yes
Double Chance 79% 1X
  • 1X2 Liverpool win 57%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
  • BTTS Yes 50%
  • Double Chance 1X 79%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Liverpool
W/D/L 0-3-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.61 / 1.43
Nottingham Forest
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 4 / 10
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.25 / 1.96

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
0
2
Goals Conceded
1
2.23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
3
61
Possession (%)
55
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
0
DEF · home
70
90
OFF · away
60
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Liverpool wins when scoring first
60%
Nottingham Forest wins when scoring first
67%
Liverpool BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Nottingham Forest BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Liverpool Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Nottingham Forest Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Liverpool comeback rate · last 10
0%
Nottingham Forest comeback rate · last 10
33%

🔥 Goal timing

Liverpool · last 10 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 11%
31–45 44%
46–60 6%
61–75 17%
76–90 11%

Nottingham Forest · last 10 away

0–15 19%
16–30 0%
31–45 19%
46–60 19%
61–75 10%
76–90 33%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.