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Home England Premier League Crystal Palace — Manchester City

Preview Crystal Palace vs Manchester City August 28, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Manchester City
Manchester City
W Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee A. Madley
Home Win · CRY
24%
Best 5.33
Draw
23%
Best 4.32
Away Win · MCI
53%
Best 1.68

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 68% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 67%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Manchester City arrives at Selhurst Park with clear momentum, riding a winning streak while Crystal Palace struggles to find form. City's attacking prowess is likely to challenge Palace's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities recently. The pace of the game is expected to be lively, with both sides pushing forward, suggesting a match with multiple goal opportunities.

  • City's recent form gives them a pressing edge.
  • Palace's home crowd may inspire a resilient defensive effort.
  • High tempo likely to favor City's dynamic attack.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 53% Manchester City win
Over/Under 2.5 68% Over 2.5
BTTS 67% Yes
Double Chance 76% X2
  • 1X2 Manchester City win 53%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68%
  • BTTS Yes 67%
  • Double Chance X2 76%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Crystal Palace
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.63 / 1.72
Manchester City
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.97 / 1.02

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
2.04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
4
Shots on Target
6
0
Corners
8
58
Possession (%)
66
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
70
DEF · home
60
80
OFF · away
90
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Crystal Palace wins when scoring first
0%
Manchester City wins when scoring first
71%
Crystal Palace BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Manchester City BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Crystal Palace Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Manchester City Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Crystal Palace comeback rate · last 10
17%
Manchester City comeback rate · last 10
50%

🔥 Goal timing

Crystal Palace · last 10 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 10%
31–45 30%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 60%

Manchester City · last 10 away

0–15 14%
16–30 0%
31–45 29%
46–60 14%
61–75 7%
76–90 36%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

M. Guéhi
MCI · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90
J. Gvardiol
MCI · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90