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Home › England › Premier League › Crystal Palace — Manchester City

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City 1:4: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L L W L D
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 19:00
1:4
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
W W W W W Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee A. Madley
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 49% · book 2.62 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 68% · book 1.67 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 67% · book 1.68 ✓
Total goals
5
1 · 4
xG (open play)
0.57 – 1.45
Δ −0.88
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.67 — +13.6% better than the market.

Manchester City arrives at Selhurst Park with clear momentum, riding a winning streak while Crystal Palace struggles to find form. City's attacking prowess is likely to challenge Palace's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities recently. The pace of the game is expected to be lively, with both sides pushing forward, suggesting a match with multiple goal opportunities.

  • City's recent form gives them a pressing edge.
  • Palace's home crowd may inspire a resilient defensive effort.
  • High tempo likely to favor City's dynamic attack.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 68% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · MCI 4-2-3-1
CRY · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · MCI 1 Henderson 6 Canvot 26 Richards 17 Tomiyasu 25 Khalaili 18 Kamada 20 Wharton 3 Mitchell 9 Nketiah 10 Pino 22 Larsen 1 Donnarumma 45 Khusanov 3 Dias 24 Gvardiol 33 O'Reilly 5 Anderson 6 Guéhi 47 Foden 10 Cherki ⚽ 42 Semenyo 9 Haaland ⚽
Subs used · CRY
63' Guessand ↑ · Larsen ↓
68' McNeil ↑ · Nketiah ↓
68' Gozo ↑ · Pino ↓
74' Disasi ↑ · Tomiyasu ↓
77' Mingueza ↑ · Khalaili ↓
Subs used · MCI
75' Kovacic ↑ · Gvardiol ↓
82' McAidoo ↑ · Cherki ↓
82' Bouaddi ↑ · Anderson ↓
89' Reis ↑ · Khusanov ↓
89' Braithwaite ↑ · O'Reilly ↓

Statistics

CRY 1 – 4 MCI
28%
Possession (%)
72%
0.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
9
Total Shots
18
1
Shots on Target
9
7
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
12
2
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
93%
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 1 – 4
17'
⚽
E. Haaland
Assist · A. Semenyo · 0–1
33'
▮
R. Cherki
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
54'
⚽
R. Cherki
Assist · P. Foden · 0–2
55'
▮
E. Anderson
Yellow Card
G. Donnarumma
Own goal · 1–2
⚽
56'
59'
⚽
R. Cherki
Assist · J. Gvardiol · 1–3
E. Guessand ↓ · J. Larsen ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
A. Khalaili
Yellow Card
▮
68'
D. McNeil ↓ · E. Nketiah ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
Z. Gozo ↓ · Y. Pino ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
A. Disasi ↓ · T. Tomiyasu ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
75'
⇄
M. Kovacic ↓ · J. Gvardiol ↑
Substitution 1
O. Mingueza ↓ · A. Khalaili ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
77'
82'
⇄
R. McAidoo ↓ · R. Cherki ↑
Substitution 2
82'
⇄
A. Bouaddi ↓ · E. Anderson ↑
Substitution 3
84'
⚽
E. Haaland
Assist · P. Foden · 1–4
89'
⇄
Vitor Reis ↓ · A. Khusanov ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
K. Braithwaite ↓ · N. O'Reilly ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Manchester City won 4–1 away at Crystal Palace. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 93% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.45 to 0.57. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.45 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Haaland (17'), R. Cherki (54'), G. Donnarumma (56'), R. Cherki (59'), E. Haaland (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.79 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.62 2.66 49% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 1.73 68% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.68 1.68 67% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.28 2.15 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.62 1.67 53% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.12 2.11 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.20 2.20 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.00 5.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.17 1.18 76% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.44 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 1.21 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.10 3.95 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.76 3.62 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.24 1.26 53% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 4.33 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 12.99 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.79u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
CRY – MCI @ 1.67
+13.6%
Edge
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