Match Brighton vs Aston Villa August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton hosts Aston Villa in a Premier League clash where limited recent form data suggests a cautious approach. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a slight lean towards over 2.5 goals, indicating potential attacking intent from both sides. Brighton’s home familiarity could offer a pressing edge, while Villa might look to exploit set-piece opportunities and quick transitions.

Home momentum may be balanced by Villa’s counter-attacking threat
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline
Goal chances likely from both teams, but tight defensive moments anticipated

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-2-3-1

BRI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AST

10 Rutter

Subs used · BRI

64'

Kostoulas ↑ ·

Hinshelwood ↓

64'

Costinha ↑ ·

Ayari ↓

78'

Yohanna ↑ ·

Wieffer ↓

78'

Osman ↑ ·

De Cuyper ↓

86'

Yalcouye ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

Subs used · AST

74'

Bogarde ↑ ·

Barkley ↓

74'

Mings ↑ ·

Torres ↓

82'

Ruggeri ↑ ·

Maatsen ↓

82'

Alysson ↑ ·

McGinn ↓

86'

Garnacho ↑ ·

Buendia ↓

📊 Statistics

BRI 4 – 0 AST

73%

Possession (%)

27%

3.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.31

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

93%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 4 – 0

V. Lindelof

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

▮

Joao Gomes

Yellow Card

P. Gross

Yellow Card

▮

Y. Ayari

Yellow Card

▮

11'

M. De Cuyper

Assist · G. Rutter · 2–0

⚽

18'

J. Hinshelwood

Assist · D. Gomez · 3–0

⚽

30'

J. Hinshelwood

4–0

⚽

31'

33'

▮

J. McGinn

Yellow Card

40'

▮

Joao Gomes

Red Card

Half-time · 4 – 0

C. Kostoulas ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

Costinha ↓ · Y. Ayari ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

74'

⇄

L. Bogarde ↓ · R. Barkley ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

T. Mings ↓ · P. Torres ↑

Substitution 2

Z. Yohanna ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

I. Osman ↓ · M. De Cuyper ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

82'

⇄

M. Ruggeri ↓ · I. Maatsen ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

Alysson ↓ · J. McGinn ↑

Substitution 4

M. Yalcouye ↓ · D. Gomez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

⇄

A. Garnacho ↓ · E. Buendia ↑

Substitution 5

90+5'

▮

M. Cash

Yellow Card

Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Brighton beat Aston Villa 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.67 to 0.31. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 6, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Lindelof (8'), M. De Cuyper (18'), J. Hinshelwood (30'), J. Hinshelwood (31'). Joao Gomes was sent off in the 40' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.51 units (Brier 0.208).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.91	1.91	51%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.97	1.97	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.62	1.67	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.23	2.20	42%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.04	3.04	30%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.06	2.06	45%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.26	2.40	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.68	1.62	42%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	3.32	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.33	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.71	1.71	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.04	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.60	10.99	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.19	1.26	79%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.35	3.70	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.65	3.45	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.34	67%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.51u	−15% ROI