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Home › England › Premier League › Brighton — Aston Villa

Predictions by Market: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 L D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 13:00
4:0
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L D L W D Away · last 5
Referee P. Bankes

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRI
42%
Best 2.24
Draw
25%
Best 3.54
Away Win · AST
33%
Best 3.50
No value pick
—
no edge vs market
Most likely outcome
BTTS Yes
p 55% · not a bet
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 14.60
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.