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Home World World Cup Brazil — Norway

Preview Brazil vs Norway July 5, 2026

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Brazil
Brazil
Home · last 5 D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Jul · 20:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Norway
Norway
W W L W Away · last 5
Home Win · BRA
49%
Best 1.87
Draw
26%
Best 3.84
Away Win · NOR
26%
Best 4.60

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 64% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 63%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Brazil faces Norway in a World Cup clash where Norway's red-hot form and clinical attack stand out. Norway's perfect recent run and high scoring rate suggest they carry strong momentum, while Brazil's mixed form and tighter defense hint at a tactical battle. The neutral venue levels the playing field, but expect an open game given Norway's attacking edge and Brazil's occasional defensive lapses.

  • Norway's prolific offense challenges Brazil's defense.
  • Brazil's home momentum is tempered by recent inconsistency.
  • Neutral ground favors a balanced, high-tempo encounter.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% Brazil win
Over/Under 2.5 63% Over 2.5
BTTS 64% Yes
Double Chance 74% 1X
  • 1X2 Brazil win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63%
  • BTTS Yes 64%
  • Double Chance 1X 74%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Brazil
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 11 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.21 / 0.66
Norway
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 9
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-1-0
xG (for / against) 2.09 / 1.25

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.25
Goals Scored
2.50
0.50
Goals Conceded
2
2.21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
6.25
Shots on Target
5
5.25
Corners
4.25
58.25
Possession (%)
49.75
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🌍 Qualification form

Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
Brazil Medium data confidence
L W W D L
Matches18
Goals for / against24 / 17
Goals for / match1.33
Goals against / match0.94
Clean sheets33.3%
Both teams to score44.4%
Over 1.5 goals61.1%
Over 2.5 goals38.9%
Avg corners5.1
Avg shots11.9
Avg shots on target4.2
Sources: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification
Norway High data confidence
W W W W W
Matches8
Goals for / against37 / 5
Goals for / match4.63
Goals against / match0.63
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals87.5%
xG for / match3.83
xG against / match0.37
Avg corners5.0
Avg shots19.4
Avg shots on target7.8
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
56
OFF · home
75
65
DEF · home
29
98
OFF · away
90
71
DEF · away
60
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Brazil wins when scoring first
100%
Norway wins when scoring first
100%
Brazil BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Norway BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Brazil Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Norway Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Brazil comeback rate · last 10
33%
Norway comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Brazil · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 17%
31–45 50%
46–60 17%
61–75 0%
76–90 17%

Norway · last 2 away

0–15 0%
16–30 20%
31–45 40%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 40%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

Vinícius Júnior
BRA · Midfielder
4 G · 1.03 g/90
Matheus Cunha
BRA · Attacker
3 G · 1.15 g/90
E. Haaland
NOR · Attacker
5 G · 1.67 g/90
L. Østigård
NOR · Defender
1 G