Match Brazil vs Norway July 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.67 — +13.2% better than the market.

Brazil faces Norway in a World Cup clash where Norway's red-hot form and clinical attack stand out. Norway's perfect recent run and high scoring rate suggest they carry strong momentum, while Brazil's mixed form and tighter defense hint at a tactical battle. The neutral venue levels the playing field, but expect an open game given Norway's attacking edge and Brazil's occasional defensive lapses.

Norway's prolific offense challenges Brazil's defense.
Brazil's home momentum is tempered by recent inconsistency.
Neutral ground favors a balanced, high-tempo encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRA 4-4-2 · NOR 4-3-3

BRA · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · NOR

7 Júnior

Subs used · BRA

58'

Endrick ↑ ·

Cunha ↓

67'

Neymar ↑ ·

Martinelli ↓

67'

Santos ↑ ·

Rayan ↓

79'

Ederson ↑ ·

Guimaraes ↓

Subs used · NOR

46'

Bobb ↑ ·

Sorloth ↓

46'

Schjelderup ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

63'

Aursnes ↑ ·

Ryerson ↓

90+5'

Ostigard ↑ ·

Wolfe ↓

📊 Statistics

BRA 1 – 2 NOR

34%

Possession (%)

66%

2.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.84

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 2

Bruno Guimaraes (P)

Penalty · Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 1–0

⚽

14'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

O. Bobb ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

A. Schjelderup ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 2

Endrick ↓ · M. Cunha ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

63'

⇄

F. Aursnes ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑

Substitution 3

Neymar ↓ · G. Martinelli ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

Danilo Santos ↓ · Rayan ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

67'

Ederson ↓ · Bruno Guimaraes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

⚽

E. Haaland

Assist · A. Schjelderup · 1–1

90'

⚽

E. Haaland

Assist · A. Schjelderup · 1–2

90+5'

⇄

L. Ostigard ↓ · D. Wolfe ↑

Substitution 4

Neymar

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Neymar (P)

Penalty · 2–2

⚽

90+10'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Norway won 2–1 away at Brazil. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.73 to 0.84. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 4 on target.

On the scoresheet: E. Haaland (79'), E. Haaland (90'), Neymar (90+10').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.75 units (Brier 0.198).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.67	1.67	68%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.62	64%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.88	2.00	51%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Home Win	1.89	1.75	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	2.20	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.01	2.20	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	2.62	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	1.20	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Away Win	4.15	4.74	26%	Cashed	+3.15	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	1.20	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.12	3.34	26%	Cashed	+2.12	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.55	3.75	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	1.50	52%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	1.29	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	4.50	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	12.99	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.75u	−4% ROI