Match England vs Congo DR July 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.44 — +7.7% better than the market.

England enter this World Cup clash with formidable home momentum, boasting a perfect defensive record in qualifiers and a potent attack averaging nearly 3 goals per game. Their compact block and high pressing have kept clean sheets consistently. Congo DR shows resilience with solid form and a decent defensive record but faces a tough challenge breaking down England's disciplined setup.

England's defensive solidity and attacking efficiency create a strong foundation.
Congo DR's resilience and counter-attacking threat could test England's focus.
Neutral venue may slightly temper England's home edge but their form suggests control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.44 ✓ Cashed

AI 44% Implied 41% +1.44u

+144%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ENG 4-2-3-1 · CGO 4-2-3-1

ENG · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CGO

9 Kane ⚽

Subs used · ENG

61'

Gordon ↑ ·

Rashford ↓

61'

Saka ↑ ·

Madueke ↓

70'

Eze ↑ ·

Spence ↓

90+1'

Stones ↑ ·

Rice ↓

Subs used · CGO

64'

Elia ↑ ·

Mbuku ↓

76'

Kayembe ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

76'

Bongonda ↑ ·

Cipenga ↓

89'

Kayembe ↑ ·

Masuaku ↓

89'

Mayele ↑ ·

Moutoussamy ↓

📊 Statistics

ENG 2 – 1 CGO

60%

Possession (%)

40%

2.04

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 1

⚽

B. Cipenga

Assist · C. Mbemba · 0–1

J. Bellingham

Yellow Card

▮

19'

28'

▮

N. Sadiki

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

A. Gordon ↓ · M. Rashford ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

B. Saka ↓ · N. Madueke ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

64'

⇄

M. Elia ↓ · N. Mbuku ↑

Substitution 1

E. Eze ↓ · D. Spence ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

H. Kane

Assist · A. Gordon · 1–1

⚽

75'

76'

⇄

E. Kayembe ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

T. Bongonda ↓ · B. Cipenga ↑

Substitution 3

H. Kane

Assist · A. Gordon · 2–1

⚽

86'

89'

⇄

J. Kayembe ↓ · A. Masuaku ↑

Substitution 4

89'

⇄

F. Mayele ↓ · S. Moutoussamy ↑

Substitution 5

J. Stones ↓ · D. Rice ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

England beat Congo DR 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.04 to 0.80. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: B. Cipenga (7'), H. Kane (75'), H. Kane (86').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.51 units (Brier 0.124).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.44	2.69	44%	Cashed	+1.44	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.00	2.00	50%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.79	1.79	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.35	12.35	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.55	3.55	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	3.60	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	1.04	86%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	1.30	67%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
BTTS No	1.52	1.45	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.05	1.05	67%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	5.25	4.90	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.00	7.87	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	1.33	74%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	1.26	70%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	3.30	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.51u	−30% ROI