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Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Athletic Club

Predictions Real Madrid vs Athletic Club May 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
4:2
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee J. Martinez
Home Win · REA
69%
Best 1.52
Draw
20%
Best 4.98
Away Win · BIL
12%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.42
Fair odds
2.37
book 2.42 · +2.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 42% · EV +2.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.8%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 36.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16.7%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.8%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.