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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Valencia

Match Real Sociedad vs Valencia May 17, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
3:4
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Referee I. Galech
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.27
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.99
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.10
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
1.14 – 1.61
Δ −0.47
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Sociedad holds a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo against Valencia. Despite recent mixed form, Sociedad's stronger defense and home momentum could stifle Valencia's attack, which has struggled against solid backlines. Valencia's recent improved form hints at resilience, but Sociedad's pressing and set-piece threat may prove decisive in a tactical battle.

  • Home side's defensive solidity vs away's moderate offense
  • Valencia's recent form upswing vs Sociedad's home edge
  • Balanced pace expected with moderate goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RSO 4-4-2 · VAL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · RSO
58' Gomez ↑ · Munoz
58' Oyarzabal ↑ · Zakharyan
58' Sucic ↑ · Mendez
79' Guedes ↑ · Oskarsson
84' Aramburu ↑ · Elustondo
Subs used · VAL
74' Sadiq ↑ · Duro
74' Rendall ↑ · Ugrinic
74' Ramazani ↑ · Rioja
74' Pepelu ↑ · Lopez
83' Almeida ↑ · Nunez

📊 Statistics

RSO 34 VAL
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.61
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
11
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
4
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

22 · 3 – 4
A. Munoz
Assist · A. Elustondo · 1–0
3'
8'
J. Guerra
Assist · D. Lopez · 1–1
22'
H. Duro
Assist · E. Comert · 1–2
A. Zakharyan
Yellow Card
25'
Half-time · 1 – 2
S. Gomez ↓ · A. Munoz ↑
Substitution 1
58'
M. Oyarzabal ↓ · A. Zakharyan ↑
Substitution 2
58'
L. Sucic ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 3
58'
C. Tarrega
Own goal · 2–2
60'
O. Oskarsson
Assist · M. Oyarzabal · 3–2
63'
70'
E. Comert
Red Card
74'
U. Sadiq ↓ · H. Duro ↑
Substitution 1
74'
T. Rendall ↓ · F. Ugrinic ↑
Substitution 2
74'
L. Ramazani ↓ · L. Rioja ↑
Substitution 3
74'
Pepelu ↓ · D. Lopez ↑
Substitution 4
G. Guedes ↓ · O. Oskarsson ↑
Substitution 4
79'
83'
A. Almeida ↓ · U. Nunez ↑
Substitution 5
J. Aramburu ↓ · A. Elustondo ↑
Substitution 5
84'
B. Turrientes
Yellow Card
86'
I. Zubeldia
Yellow Card
88'
J. Martin
Yellow Card
88'
89'
G. Rodriguez
Assist · A. Almeida · 3–3
90+3'
J. Guerra
Assist · T. Rendall · 3–4
Full-time · 3 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.27 2.25 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.99 2.00 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 2.14 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.95 1.87 49% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.73 1.66 53% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.65 1.63 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.71 1.67 47% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.45 2.38 21% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 1.32 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 3.64 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.33 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 10.99 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.04 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 1.25 73% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 3.54 3.28 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 3.00 28% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Away Win 3.44 3.30 21% Cashed +2.44 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.13u −1% ROI