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Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Celta Vigo

Predictions by Market: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal Referee A. Quintero

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIL
60%
Best 1.98
Draw
23%
Best 3.74
Away Win · CEL
16%
Best 4.12
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.86
Fair odds
1.66
book 1.86 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +12.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.3%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.3%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
VIL – CEL @ 1.86
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →