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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Villarreal — Celta Vigo

Match Villarreal vs Celta Vigo April 26, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal Referee A. Quintero
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.86
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.81
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.15
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.72 – 2.08
Δ −0.36
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal carry clear home momentum into this La Liga clash, boasting a solid form run and a notable quality edge over Celta Vigo. Their attacking threat is well-matched against Celta's defense, suggesting chances will be created. The home side's compact block and efficient transitions could exploit Celta's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a moderately paced game with a decent goal environment given the balanced over/under odds.

  • Home attacking edge vs away defense
  • Strong recent form and home confidence
  • Balanced tempo with goal-scoring potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · CEL 3-4-2-1
Subs used · VIL
78' Parejo ↑ · Gueye
78' Cardona ↑ · Pedraza
78' Gonzalez ↑ · Pepe
85' Perez ↑ · Mikautadze
90+2' Partey ↑ · Moleiro
Subs used · CEL
46' Jutgla ↑ · Duran
76' Aspas ↑ · Alonso
76' Nunez ↑ · Alvarez
76' Lopez ↑ · Sotelo
83' Gonzalez ↑ · Iglesias

📊 Statistics

VIL 21 CEL
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.72
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.08
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
16
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
3
Yellow Cards
5
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

22 · 2 – 1
G. Moreno (P)
Penalty · 1–0
2'
14'
Marcos Alonso
Yellow Card
Alfonso Pedraza
Yellow Card
18'
29'
Ionuț Radu
Yellow Card
N. Pepe
Assist · A. Pedraza · 2–0
29'
Nicolas Pépé
Yellow Card
42'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
F. Jutgla ↓ · P. Duran ↑
Substitution 1
45+3'
Pablo Durán
Yellow Card
Pape Gueye
Yellow Card
70'
73'
B. Iglesias (P)
Penalty · 2–1
74'
Borja Iglesias
Yellow Card
76'
I. Aspas ↓ · M. Alonso ↑
Substitution 2
76'
A. Nunez ↓ · H. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 3
76'
F. Lopez ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑
Substitution 4
D. Parejo ↓ · P. Gueye ↑
Substitution 1
78'
S. Cardona ↓ · A. Pedraza ↑
Substitution 2
78'
A. Gonzalez ↓ · N. Pepe ↑
Substitution 3
78'
83'
H. Gonzalez ↓ · B. Iglesias ↑
Substitution 5
A. Perez ↓ · G. Mikautadze ↑
Substitution 4
85'
T. Partey ↓ · A. Moleiro ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
90+4'
Ilaix Moriba
Yellow Card
90+5'
Iago Aspas
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.86 60% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.81 55% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.15 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 56% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.10 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.89 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.45 66% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 60% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 78% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.35 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.38 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.25u −31% ROI