P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Girona

Predictions Real Madrid vs Girona April 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Fri 10 Apr · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Home Win · REA
77%
Best 1.31
Draw
16%
Best 6.00
Away Win · GIR
7%
Best 8.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.57
Fair odds
6.20
book 6.57 · +5.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +5.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (77%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.1%
Odds 6.57
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 6.9%
Odds 10.60
Show model details
Implied probability 9.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12.9%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 24.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.9%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 23%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
REA – GIR @ 6.57
+5.9%
Edge
Forecast →