P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Girona

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Girona

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Fri 10 Apr · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
77%
Best 1.31
Draw
16%
Best 6.00
Away Win · GIR
7%
Best 8.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.57
Fair odds
6.20
book 6.57 · +5.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +5.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (77%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16.1%
Odds 6.57
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.9%
Odds 10.60
Show model details
Implied probability 9.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12.9%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 24.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.9%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 23%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
REA – GIR @ 6.57
+5.9%
Edge
Forecast →