Match West Ham vs Newcastle November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at London Stadium. West Ham's defensive solidity is notable, but their recent struggles and Newcastle's sharper attack create a tactical mismatch. Expect a controlled pace with Newcastle pressing to exploit West Ham's fragile momentum.

Newcastle's superior overall strength and form advantage
West Ham's defensive resilience may limit goals
Likely a cautious game with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

WES 4-5-1 · NEW 4-3-3

WES · 4-5-1 4-3-3 · NEW

9 Wilson

Subs used · WES

61'

Soucek ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

79'

Walker-Peters ↑ ·

Summerville ↓

85'

Igor ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

Subs used · NEW

46'

Schar ↑ ·

Krafth ↓

46'

Osula ↑ ·

Woltemade ↓

46'

Ramsey ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

65'

Barnes ↑ ·

Botman ↓

77'

Elanga ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

📊 Statistics

WES 3 – 1 NEW

38%

Possession (%)

62%

1.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 1

⚽

J. Murphy

Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 0–1

30'

▮

Bruno Guimarães

Yellow Card

Lucas Paqueta

Assist · M. Fernandes · 1–1

⚽

35'

S. Botman

Own goal · Assist · A. Wan-Bissaka · 2–1

⚽

45'

Half-time · 2 – 1

46'

⇄

F. Schar ↓ · E. Krafth ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

W. Osula ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

J. Ramsey ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 3

T. Soucek ↓ · C. Wilson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

65'

⇄

H. Barnes ↓ · S. Botman ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⇄

A. Elanga ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 5

K. Walker-Peters ↓ · C. Summerville ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

Igor ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

T. Soucek

3–1

⚽

90'

Lucas Paquetá

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

▮

Jacob Ramsey

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

West Ham beat Newcastle 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.58 to 0.54. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Murphy (4'), Lucas Paqueta (35'), S. Botman (45'), T. Soucek (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.67 units (Brier 0.368).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.15	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.07	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.68	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.39	—	35%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.86	—	44%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	43%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.35	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.38	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.06	—	22%	Cashed	+2.06	Cashed
Draw	4.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	87%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	68%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Home Win	5.25	—	14%	Cashed	+4.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.98	—	14%	Cashed	+2.98	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.67u	+22% ROI