Match Oviedo vs Valencia March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.86 — +11.1% better than the market.

Valencia arrives with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, likely to test Oviedo’s sturdy but vulnerable defense. Oviedo’s recent home form shows signs of struggle, while Valencia’s away momentum and sharper offensive play suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Valencia’s pressing and Oviedo’s compact block will shape chances.

Valencia’s offensive edge against Oviedo’s defense
Home side’s recent form under pressure
Moderate pace hinted by odds favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.86 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 54% +0.86u

+86%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · VAL 4-2-3-1

OVI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VAL

9 Viñas

Subs used · OVI

63'

Chaira ↑ ·

Ilic ↓

70'

Colombatto ↑ ·

Fonseca ↓

70'

Hassan ↑ ·

Fernandez ↓

85'

Cazorla ↑ ·

Reina ↓

85'

Calvo ↑ ·

Vidal ↓

Subs used · VAL

56'

Rioja ↑ ·

Danjuma ↓

56'

Duro ↑ ·

Sadiq ↓

56'

Almeida ↑ ·

Ugrinic ↓

70'

Lopez ↑ ·

Guerra ↓

80'

Beltran ↑ ·

Gaya ↓

📊 Statistics

OVI 1 – 0 VAL

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.39

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0

16'

▮

Thierry Correia

Yellow Card

D. Costas

Assist · T. Fernandez · 1–0

⚽

30'

32'

▮

Unai Núñez

Yellow Card

Thiago Fernández

Yellow Card

▮

36'

Nacho Vidal

Yellow Card

▮

41'

Half-time · 1 – 0

56'

⇄

L. Rioja ↓ · A. Danjuma ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

H. Duro ↓ · U. Sadiq ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⇄

A. Almeida ↓ · F. Ugrinic ↑

Substitution 3

Nicolas Fonseca

Yellow Card

▮

59'

I. Chaira ↓ · L. Ilic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

S. Colombatto ↓ · N. Fonseca ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

H. Hassan ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

⇄

D. Lopez ↓ · J. Guerra ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

L. Beltran ↓ · J. Gaya ↑

Substitution 5

S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

D. Calvo ↓ · N. Vidal ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Oviedo beat Valencia 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Costas (30').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.77 units (Brier 0.217).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.86	—	60%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.65	—	66%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Away Win	2.73	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.90	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.45	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.06	—	26%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.46	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.88	—	40%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.52	—	55%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Home Win	2.94	—	26%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	—	84%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	86%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.77u	−10% ROI