Real Betis vs Celta Vigo 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.34 — +5.8% better than the market.

Real Betis holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, while Celta Vigo shows resilience but lags in form and offensive threat. Betis’ stronger attack against Celta’s leaky defense suggests chances for goals, supported by a balanced pace hint favoring an open game. Expect Betis to press high and exploit set-piece opportunities, though Celta’s compact block could limit the scoring spree.

Home edge in attack-defense matchup
Recent form favors Betis’ momentum
Moderate pace hints at a lively contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.34 ✓ Cashed

AI 79% Implied 75% +0.34u

+34%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · CEL 3-4-3

BET · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · CEL

19 Hernández

Subs used · BET

67'

Antony ↑ ·

Ezzalzouli ↓

67'

Gomez ↑ ·

Firpo ↓

80'

Bakambu ↑ ·

Hernandez ↓

87'

Altimira ↑ ·

Fidalgo ↓

Subs used · CEL

58'

Moriba ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

58'

Rodriguez ↑ ·

Nunez ↓

66'

Swedberg ↑ ·

Jutgla ↓

66'

Iglesias ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

79'

El Abdellaoui ↑ ·

Duran ↓

Statistics

BET 1 – 1 CEL

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.56

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 1

⚽

F. Jutgla

Assist · O. Mingueza · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

H. Bellerin

Assist · A. Ruibal · 1–1

⚽

49'

58'

⇄

I. Moriba ↓ · F. Lopez ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

J. Rodriguez ↓ · A. Nunez ↑

Substitution 2

Cucho Hernández

Yellow Card

▮

61'

62'

▮

Marcos Alonso

Yellow Card

66'

⇄

W. Swedberg ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑

Substitution 3

66'

⇄

B. Iglesias ↓ · H. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 4

Antony ↓ · A. Ezzalzouli ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

V. Gomez ↓ · J. Firpo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

79'

⇄

J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · P. Duran ↑

Substitution 5

C. Bakambu ↓ · Cucho Hernandez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

82'

▮

Óscar Mingueza

Yellow Card

S. Altimira ↓ · A. Fidalgo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

Antony

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

▮

Ilaix Moriba

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Real Betis and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.49 to 0.56. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Jutgla (4'), H. Bellerin (49').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.12 units (Brier 0.160).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.28	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	55%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.16	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.94	—	48%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.60	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.71	—	48%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.53	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.34	—	79%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.32	—	76%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	70%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.56	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.12u	−18% ROI

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled