Match Osasuna vs Mallorca March 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Osasuna holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Mallorca, who struggle on the road and show patchy form. Osasuna’s compact defensive block and higher attacking threat should limit Mallorca’s chances, while their recent resilience suggests a controlled tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Osasuna’s pressing edge and home confidence could secure a narrow win.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
Recent form favors Osasuna’s consistency
Moderate pace likely with tight midfield control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

OSA 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-3-1-2

OSA · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · MAL

17 Budimir ⚽

Subs used · OSA

56'

Garcia ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

56'

Moro ↑ ·

Torro ↓

77'

Cruz ↑ ·

Herrando ↓

77'

Gomez ↑ ·

Galan ↓

77'

Barja ↑ ·

Moncayola ↓

Subs used · MAL

53'

Darder ↑ ·

Torre ↓

53'

Lopez ↑ ·

Raillo ↓

63'

Virgili ↑ ·

Morlanes ↓

88'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Joseph ↓

88'

Morey Bauza ↑ ·

Maffeo ↓

📊 Statistics

OSA 2 – 2 MAL

50%

Possession (%)

50%

2.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.08

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

23 · 2 – 2

Rubén García

Yellow Card

▮

22'

23'

▮

Pablo Torre

Yellow Card

27'

▮

Martin Valjent

Yellow Card

35'

⚽

V. Muriqi

0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

53'

⇄

S. Darder ↓ · P. Torre ↑

Substitution 1

53'

⇄

D. Lopez ↓ · A. Raillo ↑

Substitution 2

R. Garcia ↓ · R. Garcia ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

R. Moro ↓ · L. Torro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

60'

▮

Pablo Maffeo

Yellow Card

61'

⚽

V. Muriqi

Assist · S. Darder · 0–2

63'

⇄

J. Virgili ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑

Substitution 3

69'

▮

Leo Román

Yellow Card

73'

▮

Jan Virgili

Red Card

J. Cruz ↓ · J. Herrando ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

M. Gomez ↓ · J. Galan ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

K. Barja ↓ · J. Moncayola ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

Raúl García de Haro

Red Card

▮

82'

Victor Muñoz

Yellow Card

▮

87'

88'

⇄

A. Sanchez ↓ · M. Joseph ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

M. Morey Bauza ↓ · P. Maffeo ↑

Substitution 5

K. Barja

Assist · V. Munoz · 1–2

⚽

89'

A. Budimir

Assist · M. Gomez · 2–2

⚽

90'

90+5'

▮

Samú Costa

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Osasuna and Mallorca drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.46 to 1.08. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Muriqi (35'), V. Muriqi (61'), K. Barja (89'), A. Budimir (90'). Jan Virgili was sent off in the 73' minute. Raúl García de Haro was sent off in the 82' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.30 units (Brier 0.278).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.80	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.71	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.21	—	42%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.32	—	39%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.16	—	39%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.33	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	89%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	20%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Away Win	5.28	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.81	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.30u	+8% ROI