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Home Spain La Liga Celta Vigo — Real Madrid

Predictions Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid March 6, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Home Win · CEL
22%
Best 3.20
Draw
25%
Best 3.30
Away Win · REA
53%
Best 2.30
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.85
Fair odds
1.66
book 1.85 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +11.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 21.7%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.7%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 13.40
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 21.7%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
CEL – REA @ 1.85
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →