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Home Spain La Liga Villarreal — Elche

Predictions Villarreal vs Elche March 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Home Win · VIL
68%
Best 1.48
Draw
20%
Best 4.60
Away Win · ELC
11%
Best 6.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.00
Fair odds
4.54
book 5.00 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (78%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.4%
Odds 6.41
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.4%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.6%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
VIL – ELC @ 5.00
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →