P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Real Sociedad

Match Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad March 7, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 17:30
3:2
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.86
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.87
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.29 – 0.41
Δ +1.88
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with clear quality and home momentum, boasting a solid defensive edge and a recent run of strong results. Their pressing and compact block could stifle Real Sociedad’s attack, which has struggled to break down tough defenses. The home side’s attacking threat against Sociedad’s defense suggests a controlled game with chances for Atletico to capitalize on set-pieces and transitions.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive challenges
  • Recent form favors Atletico’s confidence
  • Moderate pace expected, leaning to a tactical battle

Real Sociedad will look to exploit any lapses but face a tough task against a disciplined Atletico side. Their inconsistent form and lower overall quality hint at a challenging away trip, where compactness and counter-attacks will be key.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · RSO 4-4-2
Subs used · ATM
46' Llorente ↑ · Mendoza
53' Griezmann ↑ · Lookman
53' Alvarez ↑ · Simeone
54' Gonzalez ↑ · Almada
61' Cardoso ↑ · Koke
Subs used · RSO
55' Guedes ↑ · Marin
56' Oyarzabal ↑ · Oskarsson
65' Zakharyan ↑ · Barrenetxea
74' Mendez ↑ · Sucic
74' Turrientes ↑ · Soler

📊 Statistics

ATM 32 RSO
52%
Possession (%)
48%
2.29
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.41
24
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Target
3
12
Shots off Target
2
20
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 3 – 2
A. Sorloth
Assist · J. M. Gimenez · 1–0
5'
9'
C. Soler
Assist · L. Sucic · 1–1
Dávid Hancko
Yellow Card
20'
Half-time · 1 – 1
M. Llorente ↓ · R. Mendoza ↑
Substitution 1
46'
49'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Yellow Card
A. Griezmann ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 2
53'
J. Alvarez ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 3
53'
N. Gonzalez ↓ · T. Almada ↑
Substitution 4
54'
55'
G. Guedes ↓ · P. Marin ↑
Substitution 1
56'
M. Oyarzabal ↓ · O. Oskarsson ↑
Substitution 2
J. Cardoso ↓ · Koke ↑
Substitution 5
61'
65'
A. Zakharyan ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 3
N. Gonzalez
Assist · A. Griezmann · 2–1
67'
68'
M. Oyarzabal
2–2
74'
B. Mendez ↓ · L. Sucic ↑
Substitution 4
74'
B. Turrientes ↓ · C. Soler ↑
Substitution 5
N. Gonzalez
Assist · M. Ruggeri · 3–2
81'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.66 65% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 55% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 53% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.98 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.45 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.18 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.07 33% Cashed +2.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.23 65% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 78% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.82 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.49 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.79u −22% ROI