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Real Betis vs Sevilla 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Betis
Real Betis
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 17:30
2:2
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.89 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.04 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.96 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.58 – 0.94
Δ +0.64
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.89 — +13.6% better than the market.

Real Betis enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a clear quality edge and a potent attack against Sevilla's less robust defense. Their recent form shows resilience and goal-scoring consistency, while Sevilla's away struggles and defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. Expect Betis to press high and control tempo, leveraging their home advantage and sharper offensive threat.

  • Betis' superior form and home edge set the tone
  • Sevilla's defensive lapses invite pressure
  • Moderate pace likely with Betis dictating play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.89 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-3-3 · SEV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · BET
70' Altimira ↑ · Fidalgo ↓
70' Bakambu ↑ · Hernandez ↓
Subs used · SEV
46' Ejuke ↑ · A. Carmona ↓
46' Oso ↑ · Suazo ↓
70' Romero ↑ · Sanchez ↓
74' Januzaj ↑ · Azpilicueta ↓
90' Mendy ↑ · Sow ↓

Statistics

BET 2 – 2 SEV
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.58
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.94
9
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
15
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

17 · 2 – 2
11'
▮
Gabriel Suazo
Yellow Card
Antony
1–0
⚽
16'
Antony
Yellow Card
▮
24'
A. Fidalgo
Assist · A. Ezzalzouli · 2–0
⚽
37'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
C. Ejuke ↓ · J. A. Carmona ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Oso ↓ · G. Suazo ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⚽
A. Sanchez
Assist · Oso · 2–1
S. Altimira ↓ · A. Fidalgo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
C. Bakambu ↓ · Cucho Hernandez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
70'
⇄
I. Romero ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
A. Januzaj ↓ · C. Azpilicueta ↑
Substitution 4
Diego Llorente
Yellow Card
▮
75'
Natan
Yellow Card
▮
82'
85'
▮
Isaac Romero
Yellow Card
85'
⚽
I. Romero
Assist · D. Sow · 2–2
90'
▮
Juanlu Sánchez
Yellow Card
90'
⇄
B. Mendy ↓ · D. Sow ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Real Betis and Sevilla drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.58 to 0.94. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Antony (16'), A. Fidalgo (37'), A. Sanchez (62'), I. Romero (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.13 units (Brier 0.230).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.89 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.04 — 50% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
BTTS No 1.96 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.94 — 50% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.91 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.10 — 40% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.53 — 28% Cashed +2.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 — 74% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.88 — 24% Cashed +2.88 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.70 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.46 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.13u +1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
BET – SEV @ 1.89
+13.6%
Edge
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