Celta Vigo vs Mallorca 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.87 — +12.1% better than the market.

Celta Vigo holds a clear quality edge over Mallorca, boosted by a solid home defensive record that could stifle Mallorca's attack. Despite mixed recent form, Celta's home momentum and tactical discipline suggest they can control the pace and limit chances. Mallorca's offense faces a tough test against a compact and organized backline, while Celta's pressing and set-piece threat add to their advantage.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Recent form favors home side slightly
Likely moderate tempo with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.87 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 53% +0.87u

+87%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · MAL 4-2-3-1

CEL · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · MAL

18 Durán

Subs used · CEL

44'

Swedberg ↑ ·

Duran ↓

68'

Iglesias ↑ ·

Jutgla ↓

69'

Moriba ↑ ·

Vecino ↓

69'

Aspas ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

79'

El Abdellaoui ↑ ·

Rueda ↓

Subs used · MAL

68'

Mojica ↑ ·

Lato ↓

69'

Morlanes ↑ ·

Mascarell ↓

77'

Joseph ↑ ·

Muriqi ↓

77'

Torre ↑ ·

Virgili ↓

86'

Llabres ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

Statistics

CEL 2 – 0 MAL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.04

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 2 – 0

12'

▮

Vedat Muriqi

Yellow Card

W. Swedberg ↓ · P. Duran ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

44'

Half-time · 0 – 0

47'

▮

Omar Mascarell

Yellow Card

52'

▮

Toni Lato

Yellow Card

B. Iglesias ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

⇄

J. Mojica ↓ · T. Lato ↑

Substitution 1

I. Moriba ↓ · M. Vecino ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

I. Aspas ↓ · F. Lopez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

⇄

M. Morlanes ↓ · O. Mascarell ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

M. Joseph ↓ · V. Muriqi ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

P. Torre ↓ · J. Virgili ↑

Substitution 4

J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · J. Rueda ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

I. Aspas (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

85'

86'

⇄

J. Llabres ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 5

I. Aspas

Assist · W. Swedberg · 2–0

⚽

90'

90+2'

▮

Johan Mojica

Yellow Card

Borja Iglesias

Yellow Card

▮

90+8'

▮

Antonio Raíllo

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Celta Vigo beat Mallorca 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.58 to 0.04. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 1, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: I. Aspas (85'), I. Aspas (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.23 units (Brier 0.100).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.87	—	60%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	—	57%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS No	1.83	—	55%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.25	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.08	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.04	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.20	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	69%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.33	—	60%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.26	—	78%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	90%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.10	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.56	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.02	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.58	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.23u	−31% ROI

Celta Vigo vs Mallorca 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled