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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Elche

Match Athletic Club vs Elche February 20, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Fri 20 Feb · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 48% · book 2.34
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.97
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.91
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
3.19 – 0.82
Δ +2.37
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Athletic Club shows a clear home momentum edge against Elche, backed by stronger recent form and a pressing defensive setup that challenges Elche's attack. The home side's compact block and higher points per game at home suggest they can control the pace and limit chances. Elche's defensive resilience is notable but their away struggles and less effective offense may hinder scoring opportunities.

  • Home defensive solidity versus away attack
  • Recent form favors Athletic Club
  • Balanced pace with moderate goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · ELC 3-1-4-2
Subs used · BIL
70' Vesga ↑ · Rego
70' Garcia ↑ · Gomez
75' Navarro ↑ · Sancet
80' Areso ↑ · Lekue
80' Izeta ↑ · Williams
Subs used · ELC
75' Mir ↑ · Rodriguez
75' Affengruber ↑ · Petrot
75' Sangare ↑ · Morente
81' Pedrosa ↑ · Valera
90+3' Boayar ↑ · Bigas

📊 Statistics

BIL 21 ELC
46%
Possession (%)
54%
3.19
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
18
Total Shots
2
8
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
0
14
Shots Inside Box
1
4
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
9
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

19 · 2 – 1
10'
Aleix Febas
Yellow Card
45+1'
Lucas Cepeda
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Unai Gómez
Yellow Card
55'
G. Guruzeta
Assist · Y. Berchiche · 1–0
64'
Íñigo Lekue
Yellow Card
67'
68'
Andre Silva (P)
Penalty · 1–1
M. Vesga ↓ · A. Rego ↑
Substitution 1
70'
E. Garcia ↓ · U. Gomez ↑
Substitution 2
70'
R. Navarro ↓ · O. Sancet ↑
Substitution 3
75'
75'
R. Mir ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 1
75'
D. Affengruber ↓ · L. Petrot ↑
Substitution 2
75'
Buba Sangare ↓ · Tete Morente ↑
Substitution 3
J. Areso ↓ · I. Lekue ↑
Substitution 4
80'
Izeta ↓ · I. Williams ↑
Substitution 5
80'
81'
A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Valera ↑
Substitution 4
88'
Pedro Bigas
Yellow Card
G. Guruzeta (P)
Penalty · 2–1
89'
Eder Garcia
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+3'
A. Boayar ↓ · P. Bigas ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.34 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.97 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 47% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 46% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Home Win 1.72 52% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Away Win 5.80 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.25 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.18 75% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.37 75% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.80 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.05 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.32 71% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.42 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.25 52% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.17u −30% ROI