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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Espanyol

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Home Win · ATM
69%
Best 1.52
Draw
21%
Best 4.05
Away Win · ESP
10%
Best 6.68
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.09
Fair odds
2.02
book 2.09 · +3.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +3.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 9.8%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 11.90
Show model details
Implied probability 8.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 9.8%
Odds 5.73
Show model details
Implied probability 17.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.