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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Espanyol

Match Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 50% · book 2.09
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.93
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.01
Total goals
6
4 · 2
xG (open play)
2.89 – 1.06
Δ +1.83
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid hold a clear quality edge over Espanyol, backed by a stronger defensive setup and a more potent attack. Despite Atletico's recent patchy form, their home momentum and tactical discipline should help contain Espanyol's struggles. The visitors' low scoring and defensive vulnerabilities suggest Atletico can control the pace and limit chances.

  • Atletico's compact defense vs Espanyol's modest attack
  • Home advantage with tactical solidity
  • Recent form favors Atletico's resilience despite dips

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 3-4-3 · ESP 5-4-1
Subs used · ATM
61' Koke ↑ · Baena
61' Alvarez ↑ · Lookman
74' Almada ↑ · Griezmann
74' Molina ↑ · Llorente
84' Le Normand ↑ · Simeone
Subs used · ESP
57' Terrats ↑ · Riedel
70' Exposito ↑ · Lozano
70' Fernandez Jaen ↑ · Garcia
70' Ngonge ↑ · Dolan
77' Milla ↑ · Jofre

📊 Statistics

ATM 42 ESP
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.89
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.06
18
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 4 – 2
6'
Jofre
0–1
A. Sorloth
Assist · M. Llorente · 1–1
21'
Half-time · 1 – 1
G. Simeone
Assist · A. Baena · 2–1
49'
57'
R. Terrats ↓ · C. Riedel ↑
Substitution 1
A. Lookman
Assist · M. Ruggeri · 3–1
58'
Koke ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 1
61'
J. Alvarez ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 2
61'
70'
Exposito ↓ · P. Lozano ↑
Substitution 2
70'
R. Fernandez Jaen ↓ · K. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
70'
C. Ngonge ↓ · T. Dolan ↑
Substitution 4
A. Sorloth
Assist · M. Ruggeri · 4–1
72'
T. Almada ↓ · A. Griezmann ↑
Substitution 3
74'
N. Molina ↓ · M. Llorente ↑
Substitution 4
74'
77'
P. Milla ↓ · Jofre ↑
Substitution 5
80'
Exposito
4–2
83'
Cyril Ngonge
Yellow Card
R. Le Normand ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 5
84'
Full-time · 4 – 2

Match recap

Atletico Madrid beat Espanyol 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.89 to 1.06. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: Jofre (6'), A. Sorloth (21'), G. Simeone (49'), A. Lookman (58'), A. Sorloth (72'), Exposito (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.60 units (Brier 0.142).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.09 50% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.93 52% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.74 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.54 69% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 90% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 31% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.16 69% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 76% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.90 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.73 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.60u −21% ROI