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Home › Spain › La Liga › Mallorca — Real Betis

Mallorca vs Real Betis 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Mallorca
Mallorca
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
W D W L W Away · last 5
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.55 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.10 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.01 – 2.12
Δ −1.11
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.41 — +7.0% better than the market.

Real Betis hold a clear quality edge over Mallorca, reflected in their stronger overall squad and offensive capabilities. Despite Mallorca's home momentum, Betis' attacking threat against Mallorca's defense suggests a tactical battle favoring the visitors. Recent form slightly favors Mallorca, but Betis' ability to control tempo and exploit defensive gaps could prove decisive.

  • Betis' superior offensive firepower challenges Mallorca's defense.
  • Mallorca's home form shows resilience but lacks consistency.
  • Moderate pace expected, with chances for both sides to score.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.41 ✓ Cashed
AI 76% Implied 71% +0.41u
+41%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MAL 4-2-3-1 · BET 4-3-3
MAL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · BET 1 Román 23 Maffeo 27 López 24 Valjent 22 Mojica 5 Mascarell 12 Costa 18 Joseph 10 Darder 17 Virgili 7 Muriqi ⚽ 1 Valles 24 Ruibal 3 Llorente 4 Natan 12 Rodríguez 8 Fornals 21 Roca 15 Fidalgo 7 Antony 11 Bakambu ⚽ 10 Ezzalzouli ⚽
Subs used · MAL
46' Morlanes ↑ · Mascarell ↓
46' Luvumbo ↑ · Joseph ↓
78' Sanchez ↑ · Costa ↓
78' Torre ↑ · Darder ↓
82' Lato ↑ · Mojica ↓
Subs used · BET
46' Bartra ↑ · Llorente ↓
67' Altimira ↑ · Fidalgo ↓
67' Ortiz ↑ · Ruibal ↓
89' Deossa ↑ · Bakambu ↓

Statistics

MAL 1 – 2 BET
65%
Possession (%)
35%
1.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.12
14
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
8
8
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
12
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
10
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 1 – 2
16'
▮
Diego Llorente
Yellow Card
18'
⚽
A. Ezzalzouli
0–1
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
▮
21'
44'
▮
Aitor Ruibal
Yellow Card
45'
⚽
C. Bakambu
Assist · Antony · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
M. Morlanes ↓ · O. Mascarell ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Z. Luvumbo ↓ · M. Joseph ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
M. Bartra ↓ · D. Llorente ↑
Substitution 1
Manu Morlanes
Yellow Card
▮
50'
55'
▮
Álvaro Valles
Yellow Card
Vedat Muriqi
Yellow Card
▮
59'
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
▮
61'
V. Muriqi
Assist · S. Darder · 1–2
⚽
66'
67'
⇄
S. Altimira ↓ · A. Fidalgo ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
A. Ortiz ↓ · A. Ruibal ↑
Substitution 3
A. Sanchez ↓ · Samu Costa ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
P. Torre ↓ · S. Darder ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
T. Lato ↓ · J. Mojica ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
89'
⇄
N. Deossa ↓ · C. Bakambu ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Real Betis won 2–1 away at Mallorca. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.12 to 1.01. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Ezzalzouli (18'), C. Bakambu (45'), V. Muriqi (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.62 units (Brier 0.138).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.55 — 48% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 — 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.78 — 48% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.20 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.41 — 76% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.58 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.15 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.35 — 73% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 — 73% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Draw 3.35 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.43 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.62u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
MAL – BET @ 1.41
+7.0%
Edge
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