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Home › Spain › La Liga › Valencia — Real Madrid

Predictions by Market: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Feb · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia Referee Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VAL
13%
Best 5.40
Draw
21%
Best 4.33
Away Win · REA
66%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.65
Fair odds
2.32
book 2.65 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (57%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 13.1%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.3%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 13.1%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
VAL – REA @ 2.65
+14.2%
Edge
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