Match Athletic Club vs Levante February 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Athletic Club hosts Levante in a clash where defensive solidity and recent form shape the narrative. Athletic's compact backline contrasts with Levante's more vulnerable defense, giving the home side a slight tactical edge. Despite Levante's better overall quality rating, Athletic's home momentum and pressing intensity could disrupt their rhythm. Expect a cautious tempo with moderate goal opportunities as both sides balance attack and defense.

Athletic's defensive resilience vs Levante's attack
Home momentum and pressing edge
Balanced pace suggesting a tactical midfield battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · LEV 4-2-3-1

BIL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LEV

9 Williams

Subs used · BIL

39'

Boiro ↑ ·

Berchiche ↓

62'

Navarro ↑ ·

Guruzeta ↓

63'

Rego ↑ ·

Jauregizar ↓

76'

Gomez ↑ ·

Ruiz de Galarreta ↓

76'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Williams ↓

90+8'

Lekue ↑ ·

Serrano ↓

Subs used · LEV

46'

Arriaga ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

65'

Elgezabal ↑ ·

Dela ↓

65'

A. Olasagasti ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

65'

Espi ↑ ·

Romero ↓

81'

Losada ↑ ·

Raghouber ↓

90+8'

Cortes ↑

📊 Statistics

BIL 4 – 2 LEV

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

22 · 4 – 2

17'

▮

Alan Matturro

Red Card

G. Guruzeta

Assist · I. Ruiz de Galarreta · 1–0

⚽

29'

G. Guruzeta

Assist · I. Williams · 2–0

⚽

34'

A. Boiro ↓ · Y. Berchiche ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

39'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

K. Arriaga ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 1

R. Navarro ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

A. Rego ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

65'

⇄

U. Elgezabal ↓ · Dela ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

J. A. Olasagasti ↓ · P. Martinez ↑

Substitution 3

65'

⇄

C. Espi ↓ · I. Romero ↑

Substitution 4

Aitor Paredes

Yellow Card

▮

66'

U. Gomez ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

S. Sanchez ↓ · N. Williams ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

77'

▮

Jeremy Toljan

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

I. Losada ↓ · U. Raghouber ↑

Substitution 5

81'

⚽

U. Elgezabal

2–1

N. Serrano

Assist · S. Sanchez · 3–1

⚽

86'

Alejandro Rego

Yellow Card

▮

89'

90'

⚽

J. A. Olasagasti

3–2

R. Navarro

Assist · I. Williams · 4–2

⚽

90'

I. Lekue ↓ · N. Serrano ↑

Substitution 6

⇄

90+8'

⇄

P. Cortes ↓ ·

Substitution 6

Full-time · 4 – 2

Match recap

Athletic Club beat Levante 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.09 to 0.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 6, 7 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.09 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Guruzeta (29'), G. Guruzeta (34'), U. Elgezabal (81'), N. Serrano (86'), J. A. Olasagasti (90'), R. Navarro (90'). Alan Matturro was sent off in the 17' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +95.87 units (Brier 0.255).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.35	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.97	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	50%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	1.92	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.97	—	49%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Home Win	1.70	—	51%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 0.5	100.00	—	25%	Cashed	+99.00	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.30	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.80	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.30	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	75%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	74%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	27%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Draw	4.03	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.25	—	51%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+95.87u	+564% ROI